Wimbledon Day 2 Odds & Picks (June 28)

Wimbledon Day 2 Odds & Picks (June 28)

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Rafael Nadal practices at the All-England Lawn Tennis Club on Saturday, June 25, in preparation for his first-round match Tuesday at Wimbledon (Photo by Stephanie Myles/Open Court)

With some holdovers from Monday, the first round of Wimbledon men’s singles still might not finish Tuesday
Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas are strong favorites to win their openers
With more than 30 matches on the schedule, we pick out a few that might produce good value.

No. 1 seed Novak Djokovic got through a tricky first-round test against Soonwoo Kwon of Korea. Tuesday, it’s No. 2 seed Rafael Nadal’s turn to do the same, against Argentine clay-courter Francisco Cerundolo on Wimbledon Day 2.

Wimbledon Men’s First-Round Odds

Matchups
Odds
Francisco Cerundolo (ARG) vs [2] Rafael Nadal (ESP)
+1400 / -6000
[Q] Alexander Ritschard (SUI) vs [4] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)
+1000 / -2500
[6] Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) vs Maxime Cressy (USA)
-330 / +250
[8] Matteo Berrettini (ITA) vs Cristian Garin (CHI)
-5000 / +1300
Lorenzo Musetti (ITA) vs [11] Taylor Fritz (USA)
+400 / -600
[LL] Stefan Kozlov (USA) vs [12] Diego Schwartzman (ARG)
+400 / -600
[13] Denis Shapovalov (CAN) vs Arthur Rinderknech (FRA)
-280 / +210
[PR] Attila Balazs (HUN) vs [17] Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP)
+2000 / -10000
[19] Alex de Minaur (AUS) vs Hugo Dellien (BOL)
-5000 / +1300
Feliciano Lopez (ESP) vs [21] Botic Van de Zandschulp (NED)
+350 / -525
[24] Holger Rune (DEN) vs Marcos Giron (USA)
+110 / -140
[26] Filip Krajinovic (SRB) vs Jiri Lehecka (CZE)
-280 / +210
[27] Lorenzo Sonego (ITA) vs Denis Kudla (USA)
-130 / +100
[Q] Jason Kubler (AUS) vs [28] Dan Evans (GBR)
+310 / -450
[Q] Mikhail Kukushkin (KAZ) vs [29] Jenson Brooksby (USA)
+200 / -260
[WC] Paul Jubb (GBR) vs Nick Kyrgios (AUS)
+650 / -1200
[WC] Zizou Bergs (BEL) vs Jack Draper (GBR)
+250 / -330
Sam Querrey (USA) vs Ricardas Berankis (LTU)
425 / +290
Joao Sousa (POR) vs Richard Gasquet (FRA)
+160 / -200
Alexei Popyrin (AUS) vs Hugo Gaston (FRA)
190 / +150
Pedro Martinez (ESP) vs Alex Molcan (SVK)
+175 / -230
Brandon Nakashima (USA) vs [Q] Nicola Kuhn (GER)
-1200 / +650
Emil Ruusuvuori (FIN) vs Yoshihito Nishioka (JPN)
-700 / +450
Roberto Carballes Baena (ESP) vs Jordan Thompson (AUS)
+625 / -1100
Daniel Elahi Galan (COL) vs Dominik Koepfer (GER)
+130 / -170
[Q] Bernabe Zapata Miralles (ESP) vs [Q] Jack Sock (USA)
+190 / -250
[WC] Liam Broady (GBR) vs [Q] Lukas Klein (AUT)
-175 / +135
[Q] Dennis Novak (AUT) vs Facundo Bagnis (ARG)
-600 / +400
[LL] Zdenek Kolar (CZE) vs Benjamin Bonzi (FRA)
+550 / -900
[WC] Alistair Gray (GBR) vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (TPE)
+120 / -150
[WC] Ryan Peniston (GBR) vs Henri Laaksonen (SUI)
-450 / +310
[Q] Marc-Andrea Hustler (SUI) vs [LL] Hugo Grenier (FRA)
-175 / +135

Odds as of June 27 at Caesars Sportsbook

Not much has changed on the pre-tournament favorites list after the first day. Except that Hubert Hurkacz, the No. 7 seed and fifth on the list of Wimbledon odds favorites on the best tennis betting apps, is already out.

Canadians Auger-Aliassime and Shapovalov with Big Challenges

On paper, No. 6 seed Félix Auger-Aliassime should have a fairly routine first round against American Maxime Cressy.

But Cressy is an old-school, throwback grass player who serves and volleys. All the time.

That type of opponent is rare, and Auger-Aliassime will have to be prepared to hit a ton of backhand passing shots to get through the American (who is at a career-high ranking of No. 45 after making the final in Eastbourne last Saturday).

As for Shapovalov, he has lost his last six matches – three of them at grass-court events – since upsetting Nadal in Rome, on clay last month. And first-round opponent Arthur Rinderknech defeated him earlier this year on hard courts on Doha.

Both Canadians had great Wimbledons last year – Shapovalov made the semifinals, Auger-Aliassime the quarterfinals – and will be unable to defend those points as none are awarded this year.

But it still feels as though both are going to have good tournaments.

And it starts Tuesday.

Wimbledon Day 2 Matches to Watch

Holger Rune  vs Marcos Giron Pick

Despite Rune being the seeded player, Giron is the slight favorite in this one.

They’re not dissimilar players – grinders, really, not especially suited to grass.

Still, Giron is 7-5 on grass over the last year. And he’s posted some good wins – especially in Halle.

Rune is making his Wimbledon debut and if he’s been built up as a “big-occasion player”, he lost both his grass openers in warmup events the last few weeks.

Prediction: Giron in Four Sets (+390)

Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Jack Sock Pick

Both Zapata Miralles (the No. 1 seed) and Sock came out of the qualifying.

But there the resemblance ends.

Sock, a former top-10 player a bit down on his luck, is a two-time Wimbledon doubles champion. He has never done great in singles there (to be fair, he lost twice to Milos Raonic during the Canadian star’s peak years). But he’s miles ahead of Zapata Miralles in terms of grass experience.

Zapata Miralles appeared at Wimbledon for the first time last year, at age 24. He qualified. And then he lost in five sets to fellow clay-courter Christian Garin in the first round.

There’s no quit in him, but he’ll be outmatched.

Prediction: Sock in Three Sets (+175)

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Stephanie Myles

MLB
NHL
Tennis
Sports Writer

Sports Writer

Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She’s written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.

MLB
NHL
Tennis

Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She’s written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.

Author: Jesse Smith