Twins vs Guardians Odds, Lines & Spread (June 28)

Twins vs Guardians Odds, Lines & Spread (June 28)

Gary Sanchez high-fiving Twins teammates

Jun 27, 2022; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Designated hitter Gary Sanchez (24) and the Minnesota Twins celebrate the win over the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Twins visit the Guardians for a split doubleheader Tuesday
Minnesota is in first place in the AL Central and Cleveland is in second
A look at the Twins vs Guardians odds and matchups can be found below with predictions

The top two teams in the American League Central square off when the Minnesota Twins visit the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday in a day-night doubleheader at Progressive Field.

The first game is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET and the second game will start at 7:10 p.m.

The division-leading Twins (42-33, 19-16 road) routed the second-place Guardians 11-1 on Monday night in the opener of a five-game series to extend their winning streak to three games. The Guardians (36-33, 16-14 home) have lost five consecutive games.

Twins vs Guardians Game 1 Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Minnesota Twins
-110
-1.5 (+140)
Over 8.5 (-115)
Cleveland Guardians
-110
+1.5 (-165)
Under 8,.5 (-105)

Odds as of June 28th at BetMGM. See available BetMGM promo codes. 

 

 

Both teams are -110 on the moneyline, giving them a 52.38% implied win probability. In the World Series odds, the Twins are at +4500 and the Guardians are listed at +6000.

It should be a perfect afternoon weatherwise in Cleveland as the forecast calls for a high of 76 degrees, sunny and wind from the north at 5-9 mph.

Minnesota vs Cleveland Game 1 Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Devin Smeltzer (4-1, 3.05) is scheduled to start for the Twins against Zach Plesac (2-5, 4.17). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

Smeltzer vs Plesac

4-1
Record
2-5
3.05
ERA
4.17
3.58
xERA
6.10
1.06
WHIP
1.24
2.00
SO/W
2.94

Smeltzer is coming off an impressive win over the Guardians and Plesac last Thursday at Minnesota. He pitched six shutout innings, allowing three hits and no walks while striking out three.

The best pitching performance of the early slate today belongs to Devin Smeltzer👏

He blanked the Guardians hot offense through 6 while allowing only 3 hits. The Twins maintain their 1-0 lead in the 7th🔵🔴 pic.twitter.com/rBx51dZMID

— Just Baseball (@JustBBMedia) June 23, 2022

In seven career games (five starts) against Cleveland, Smeltzer is 2-2 with a 4.31 ERA. He has an 0-1 record in two starts at Progressive Field with a 4.82 ERA.

Smeltzer is 2-1 with a 4.87 ERA in four road starts in 2022. In the day, he is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in three starts.

Plesac lost to the Smeltzer and the Twins last Thursday despite giving up only one run in six innings. He surrendered three hits and two walks while striking out six.

Plesac is 0-2 in his last three starts despite a fine 2.50 ERA. In five career starts versus the Twins, Plesac is 0-2 with a 5.28 ERA.

#️⃣4️⃣ on #TheFilthiest for 2022-4-27: Zach Plesac’s 4-Seam Fastball to Mike Trout 😯

MPH 🚀: 93.1
RPM 💫: 2067
FiFaX 🤯: [email protected] #ForTheLand | @Angels #GoHalos pic.twitter.com/rLzQlXZuu2

— Dayv Doberne ⚾ (@Sunyveil_Sports) April 28, 2022

Plesac is 1-2 with a 3.34 ERA in six starts at Progressive Field this year. He is 2-2 with a 2.80 ERA in six starts during the day. He is 0-3 with a 9.45 ERA in seven starts at night.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Twins Batters
Batting Average vs Zach Plesac
Carlos Correa
.667
Byron Buxton
.333
Luis Arraez
.273
Nick Gordon
.250
Gio Urshela
.200
Gary Sanchez
.167
Jorge Polanco
.143
Max Kepler
.143
Alex Kirilloff
.125
Ryan Jeffers
.000
Jose Miranda
.000
Guardians Batters
Batting Average vs Devin Smeltzer
Steven Kwan
.500
Luke Maile
.500
Jose Ramirez
.273
Franmil Reyes
.250
Owen Miller
.200
Amed Rosario
.200
Myles Straw
.000
Andres Gimenez
.000
Ernie Clement
.000
Oscar Gonzalez
.000
Austin Hedges
.000

The Twins’ Carlos Correa is 4 for 6 off Plesac with a double and a home run but Alex Kirilloff is just 1 for 8.

Smeltzer has dominated the Guardians’ Myles Straw. The center fielder is 0 for 5 with four strikeouts against the lefty.

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Twins vs Guardians Game 2 Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Minnesota Twins
-110
-1.5 (+145)
Over 9 (-105)
Cleveland Guardians
-110
+1.5 (-175)
Under 9 (-115)

Odds as of June 28th at BetMGM.

Both teams are at -110 on the moneyline and have implied win probabilities of 52.38%. The temperature is expected to be 76 degrees at first pitch with the weather forecast calling for a low of 62, mostly clear and calm wind.

 

 

MIN vs CLE Game 2 Probable Pitchers

In a matchup of rookies, the Twins’ Josh Winder (2-2, 3.68) will oppose Konnor Pilkington (1-0, 3.67). Both will be working on five days of rest.

Winder vs Pilkington

2-2
Record
1-0
3.68
ERA
3.67
4.69
xERA
5.00
1.23
WHIP
1.56
2.56
SO/W
1.87

The Twins plan to recall Winder from Triple-A St. Paul, where he is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts. His latest outing was last Wednesday at Buffalo when he had a no-decision after allowing one run and one hit in four innings with three strikeouts and two walks.

Winder will be making his eighth appearance and fourth start for the Twins.

Josh Winder tonight for the Saints:
4 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 3 K
59 pitches, 39 strikes (66.1%)
Don’t have full velo numbers but there was a mention of him hitting 96 mph in the first inning.#MNTwins pic.twitter.com/xDyyo447yZ

— Tom Froemming (@TFTwins) June 23, 2022

He previously pitched for them on May 17, lasting just 3.2 innings in a loss to the Athletics in Oakland. He was tagged for five runs and nine hits while walking two and striking out one.

Winder, who will be facing the Guardians for the first time, is 1-1 with a 4.20 ERA on the road this season in three games (one start). He has a 1-1 record at night with a 5.06 ERA in three games (one start). He has a 1-1 record in the day with a 2.89 ERA in four games (two starts).

Pilkington will be called up from Triple-A Columbus to make the start. He has a 0-0 record and 6.38 ERA in five starts for the Clippers and was rocked for five runs and nine hits in four innings of a no-decision at Omaha last Wednesday while striking out five and walking two.

For the Guardians, Pilkington has made eight appearances and five starts. This will be his first appearance against the Twins.

Konnor Pilkington’s 5Ks in 2 innings. pic.twitter.com/ZIyFPkXaU0

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 1, 2022

He last pitched for them June 15, taking a no-decision against the Rockies in Colorado. Pilkington gave up four runs (two earned) and six hits in 4.1 innings with three strikeouts and one walk.

Pilkington is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA at home this season in five games (three starts). He no decisions and a 4.96 ERA in five games (three starts) at night. In day games, he is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA in three games (two starts).

Twins vs Guardians Betting Outlook

Gary Sanchez went 3 for 4 with a double, a three-run home run and four RBIs to lead the Twins to an easy victory over the Guardians on Monday night.

The homer came in the second inning and opened the scoring.

🔊 (sound on) 🔊 pic.twitter.com/pD0id9glbM

— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) June 27, 2022

Correa, who has +20000 American League MVP odds, and Nick Gordon added two-run homers for Minnesota. Kirilloff and Gio Urshela each had three of the Twins’ 14 hits.

The Guardians avoided being shut out when they scored a run on a wild pitch in the ninth inning.

Cleveland catcher Austin Hedges missed his second straight game with manager Terry Francona saying he is “a little nicked up.”

Austin Hedges is just built different. #ForTheLand pic.twitter.com/basaYyW5Mz

— Bally Sports Cleveland (@BallySportsCLE) June 23, 2022

The Twins lead the season 4-3 with Monday’s game being the first played in Cleveland. Minnesota holds a 22-14 advantage since the beginning of the 2020 season.

Twins vs Guardians Last 10 Games

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Score
6/27/22
Guardians
Twins
MIN, 11-1
6/23/22
Twins
Guardians
MIN, 1-0
6/22/22
Twins
Guardians
CLE, 11-10
6/21/22
Twins
Guardians
CLE, 6-5
5/15/22
Twins
Guardians
MIN, 3-1
5/14/22
Twins
Guardians
CLE, 3-2
5/13/22
Twins
Guardians
MIN, 12-8
9/15/21
Twins
Cleveland
CLE, 12-3
9/14/22 (2)
Twins
Cleveland
MIN, 6-3
9/14/22 (1)
Twins
Cleveland
CLE, 3-1

Twins vs Guardians Picks

Let’s look for a split here with the Guardians’ Plesac finally getting in the win column against the Twins for the first time in his career in the opener then Winder winning a matchup of rookies in the nightcap.

Picks: Guardians Game 1 ML (-110); Twins Game 2 ML (-110)

 

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John Perrotto

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
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Sports Writer

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

Author: Jesse Smith