Suns Championship Odds Drop to +850 as Kevin Durant Trade Gets More Unlikely

Suns Championship Odds Drop to +850 as Kevin Durant Trade Gets More Unlikely

Chris Paul and Deandre Ayton versus Mavericks

May 15, 2022; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul (3) and center Deandre Ayton (22) against the Dallas Mavericks in game seven of the second round for the 2022 NBA playoffs at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Suns Championship odds continues to fall
Phoenix can now be had at +850 to win it all after they’re reportedly out of the running for Kevin Durant
Read below for analysis on the Suns new odds and whether or not they’re a good value

This current version of the Phoenix Suns is getting no respect in the NBA betting futures market. Phoenix’s price tag to win it all has fallen yet again, despite the fact that its league best 64-win roster from last season remains largely intact.

The primary reason for the odds shift is a new report in the Kevin Durant sweepstakes. The Suns were believed to be at the top of Durant’s trade wish list, but after signing Deandre Ayton to a max deal Phoenix doesn’t appear willing to fork over the necessary assets required to pull off a blockbuster trade.

2022-23 NBA Championship Odds

Team
Odds
Boston Celtics
+450
Golden State Warriors
+600
Milwaukee Bucks
+700
LA Clippers
+750
Phoenix Suns
+850
LA Lakers
+1100
Brooklyn Nets
+1400
Miami Heat
+1400
Philadelphia 76ers
+1600
Denver Nuggets
+2000
Memphis Grizzlies
+2200
Dallas Mavericks
+2200
 Toronto Raptors
+3000
Minnesota Timberwolves
+4000
 New Orleans Pelicans
+4500
 Chicago Bulls
+5000
Atlanta Hawks
+5000
 New York Knicks
+7500
Cleveland Cavaliers
+10000
 Portland Trail Blazers
+10000
 Charlotte Hornets
+20000
Utah Jazz
+20000
Washington Wizards
+30000
Detroit Pistons
+50000
Sacramento Kings
+50000
Oklahoma City Thunder
+50000
Indiana Pacers
+50000
Orlando Magic
+100000
Houston Rockets
+100000
San Antonio Spurs
+100000

Odds as of July 25th at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code before betting.

This is especially true after what Brooklyn just turned down from Boston. The Celtics reportedly put forth a king’s ransom headlined by superstar Jaylen Brown in an effort to pry away the perennial NBA MVP odds contender from the Nets, but not even that was enough.

[email protected] on the Nets-Celtics Kevin Durant trade talks:

“Jaylen Brown, potentially, when you look at individual players who might be available to the Nets in the marketplace, he’s at the very top.”

Woj said Boston is not closer to a deal than any other interested teams for KD. pic.twitter.com/pjg8hbdtMU

— Evan Sidery (@esidery) July 25, 2022

Phoenix’s NBA Championship odds have gone from +450 at the height of the Durant rumors, to +750 last week and have now settled at +850

Suns Championship Odds – Not Willing to Go All-in for Durant?

In addition to Brown, the Boston package also included sharpshooter Derrick White and picks. Once Phoenix re-signed Ayton, they were never going to be able to put together a strong enough proposal to entice Brooklyn.

“It just closes some windows that the Suns were interested in pursuing to get Kevin Durant.”

– ESPN’s Brian Windhorst on the Suns matching Deandre Ayton’s offer sheet pic.twitter.com/ZcY0Nkxt5y

— NBACentral (@TheNBACentral) July 15, 2022

Devin Booker and Chris Paul were never on the table, so a Phoenix trade package headlined by Mikal Bridges simply doesn’t move the needle.

That doesn’t mean a potential deal can’t be completed, but it’s highly unlikely. For starters, the Suns are already $48+ Million over the cap. Their owner has stated he’s happy to pay a significant luxury tax bill, but Phoenix would still need to send a ton of salary back to Brooklyn.

The Suns Big 3 make up for an overwhelming amount of their cap space, so in order to get a deal done a third team would have to get involved.

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Suns Smart to Bring Back Ayton

Phoenix fans are likely bummed that Durant is no longer in their plans but they shouldn’t be. Ayton is one of the league’s premier big men and they needed to bring him back.

He gives them an elite post presence as well as top-notch rebounding. Another bonus about not pursuing Durant is that the Suns can keep together a defense that was among the best in the league last season.

PHOENIX! I grew up here, got drafted here, had my son here. We have the best fans in the world.

I’m ready to get back to work with my brothers. ? pic.twitter.com/KlCSui0M6z

— Deandre Ayton (@DeandreAyton) July 19, 2022

Not only is Ayton a fantastic rim protector but Bridges is arguably the best one on one defender in the NBA. He guards the opposing team’s best player every night and hasn’t missed a game since he entered the league.

The duo compliment the offensive prowess of Booker and Paul beautifully and together help make Phoenix a complete team. Sure, having Durant would be nice, but not if it meant losing Ayton, Bridges and likely depth guard Cam Payne in addition to picks.

Suns Championship Odds – Value at New Odds

Let’s not forget the Suns finished first in NET rating last season, third in defensive rating and fifth in offensive rating. They won the most games in the league, breezing through the much more difficult Western Conference. If there was ever a team that should run it back, it’s them.

I could watch Devin Booker put the ball in the hoop all day long.

This is art in its finest form.pic.twitter.com/3n8awO83HP

— Suns Are Better (@SunsAreBetter) July 20, 2022

At a price tag of nearly twice as long as the Celtics they’re a screaming value to win the title. With no disrespect to the Warriors, if Phoenix hadn’t fallen in a hard fought seven-game series to the Mavericks they would have very likely claimed the Larry O’Brien Trophy. Bet on them to seal the deal in 2022-23.

Pick: Phoenix Suns (+850)

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Chris Amberley

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As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
Golf

As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

Author: Jesse Smith