Red Sox vs Yankees Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 15)

Red Sox vs Yankees Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 15)

Red Sox vs Yankees odds

Jul 10, 2022; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox left fielder Alex Verdugo (99) slides past New York Yankees catcher Jose Trevino (39) to score during the seventh inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees are -178 home favorites over the Boston Red Sox in an American League game on Friday, July 15
New York is 7-1 straight up in the past eight games against Boston at Yankee Stadium, but the Red Sox are 18-9 against the runline as a road underdog this season
Below, see the Red Sox vs Yankees odds, starting pitchers, betting trends, and picks

The most bitter rivalry in baseball is up for renewal again as the Boston Red Sox (47-43, 24-23 away) visit the New York Yankees (62-27, 35-11 home) to open a three-game weekend series between these AL East opponents.

Neither club is exactly tearing it up as they ready to clash on the diamond. The Yankees entered play 5-6 straight up through their last 11 games. Meanwhile, Boston was a dismal 3-8 SU over the past 11 games.

The news grows even more grim for the Red Sox when trips to the Bronx are introduced into the equation. Boston is 1-7 SU over the past seven games played between the two teams at Yankee Stadium.

Oddsmakers are expecting that MLB betting trend to be continuing. It’s the Yankees who are slotted in as the -178 home favorites for this game. New York is 35-11 SU as a home favorite this season. That’s a .761 winning percentage.

First pitch at Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05pm ET on Friday, July 15. Sunny with cloudy periods are in the weather forecast, with 3 mph wind and a temperature of 75 degrees.

Red Sox vs Yankees Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Boston Red Sox
+150
+1.5 (-140)
O 9.5 (-110)
New York Yankees
-178
-1.5 (-110)
U 95. (-110)

Odds as of July 14 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo code. 

 

 

New York is a -178 favorite, giving the Yankees an implied probability of victory of 64.03% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would deliver a payout of $15.60.

In the MLB Division odds, the Yankees are showing as the -220 odds-on favorites to win the AL East. Boston is listed at +3000 to win the division. The MLB pennant odds also display the Yankees as the chalk at +180, with the Red Sox at +1300. In the World Series odds, New York is given a betting line of +400, while odds of +2800 are available on Boston.

Boston vs New York Probable Pitchers

Red Sox right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is being activated from the 15-day IL to start the opener of this series. He’ll be making his first start since June 8 after being idled by lower back and hip ailments. He’d actually won his last three starts prior to his stint on the IL.

Eovaldi has served up 16 home run balls in 68.1 innings pitched already this season. He allowed 15 in 182.1 innings worked in 2021. Eovaldi’s home run rate per nine innings has jumped from 0.7 to 2.1.

“He’s the guy that has been dominant against the A.L. East opponents, where not a lot of other people on the Red Sox staff can say complete dominance.”

Alex Speier on the imminent return of Nathan Eovaldi.
@alexspeier | @TomCaron | @middlebrooks | #RedSox pic.twitter.com/SFuMtfQXf9

— NESN (@NESN) July 13, 2022

He is in the top 2% of MLB hurlers with a base on balls percentage of 3.6. On the flip side, Eovaldi rates among the bottom percentage of pitchers with an xwOBAcon of .447. He’s also in the bottom 3% of max EV (116.3), the bottom 4% of exit velocity (91.3) and the lower 8% of hard hit percentage (45.9).

Eovaldi opened the season April 8 by allowing three earned runs and five hits over five innings during a 6-5 loss to the Yankees. He didn’t figure in the decision.

In 16 career appearances against New York’s AL club, Eovaldi is 3-4 with a 3.76 ERA. At Yankee Stadium he’s 11-7, also with a 3.76 ERA.

Eovaldi vs Montgomery

4-2
Record
3-2
3.16
ERA
3.19
4.31
xERA
4.11
1.10
WHIP
1.03
7.20
SO/W Ratio
4.22

It should be a game that moves along at a good clip. Both Eovaldi (1.10) and Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery  (1.03) display stellar WHIPs. Montgomery also isn’t about issuing free passes. He’s among the top 8% in MLB pitchers with a 4.7 bases on balls percentage.

Montgomery is in the top 5% in Max EV (114.6). He’s 3-1 in his last four decisions. Montgomery has worked at least five innings in each of his past 10 starts.

Jordan Montgomery, Dirty 82mph Curveball. 😨 pic.twitter.com/UwKDhNJka1

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 10, 2022

He has faced the Red Sox twice this season – a 6-5 loss on July 9 and a 4-3 setback on April 10. Montgomery wasn’t a factor in either decision. He’s showing a 5.00 ERA in nine innings of work against Boston.

He’s 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA in eight 2022 starts at Yankee Stadium. At home, Montgomery’s strikeouts/walks ratio is 9.50. Over 13 career starts against the Red Sox, Montgomery is 1-2 with a 3.90 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters
Batting Average vs Eovaldi
Red Sox Batters
Batting Average vs Montgomery
Matt Carpenter
.500
Xander Bogaerts
.484
Josh Donaldson
.267
Jackie Bradley Jr
.333
Joey Gallo
.111
Franchy Cordero
.000
Marwin Gonzalez
.000
Bobby Dalbec
.250
Aaron Hicks
.167
Jeter Downs
.000
Kyle Higashioka
.600
Jarren Duran
.000
Aaron Judge
.391
JD Martinez
.087
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
.167
Kevin Plawecki
.000
DJ LeMahieu
.308
Rob Refsnyder
.333
Anthony Rizzo
.545
Trevor Story
.000
Giancarlo Stanton
.267
Alex Verdugo
.238
Gleyber Torres
.241
Christian Vazquez
.286
Jose Trevino
.000

The Yankees have hit Eovaldi hard over the years. Aaron Judge is 9-for-23 (.391) with a homer and two RBI. Anthony Rizzo is 6-for-11 (.545) with a homer and 4 RBI. Kyle Higashioka is 3-for-5 (.600) and Matt Carpenter is 5-for-10 (.500). Giancarlo Stanton shows three homers and eight RBI, while Josh Donaldson has homered twice and driven in four runs.

Anthony Rizzo singles to put the Yankees up 2-0 right away! pic.twitter.com/Bc4xulLj1d

— Talkin’ Yanks (@TalkinYanks) July 13, 2022

Boston’s Rob Refsnyder is 3-for-9 (.333) with a homer and two RBI when facing Montgomery. Xander Bogaerts is 15-for-31 (.484) with two RBI. Jackie Bradley is 3-for-9 (.333). Christian Vazquez has gone deep twice off of Montgomery.

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Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction

New York has the best home record in baseball and seven wins in the last eight at home against Boston.

Ain’t that the truth. pic.twitter.com/H8u9lw3XwC

— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 14, 2022

Eovaldi figures to be rusty making his first big-league start in over a month.

Pick: New York Yankees ML (-178)

 

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Robert Duff

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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
NCAAF
NCAAB
Tennis

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

Author: Jesse Smith