Phillies vs Braves Picks & Odds (Aug 2)

Phillies vs Braves Picks & Odds (Aug 2)

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider getting set to throw a pitch

Jul 17, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider (65) delivers a pitch against the Washington Nationals during the first inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: James A. Pittman-USA TODAY Sports

The Braves are -225 home favorites over the Phillies on Tuesday night
Nick Nelson (3-1, 3.94) will pitch for Philadelphia against rookie Spencer Strider (5-3, 2.91)
A look at the Phillies vs Braves odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

Two National League East teams on winning streaks square off when the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Atlanta Braves at 7:20 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a two-game series at Truist Park.

The Phillies (55-47, 29-22 road) have won five games in a row, including beating the Pirates 8-2 on Sunday in Pittsburgh. The Braves (62-41, 36-21 home) edged the Arizona Diamondbacks 1-0 on Sunday at home to run their win streak to three games.

The Phillies and Braves were both off Monday.

Phillies vs Braves Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Philadelphia Phillies
+190
+1.5 (-105)
Over 8 (-110)
Atlanta Braves
-225
-1.5 (-115)
Under 8 (-110)

Odds as of August 1st at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

 

The Braves are -225 favorites, giving them a 69.23% expected win probability. Atlanta’s World Series odds are +900 and the Phillies are listed at +4000.

The weather forecast calls for a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms around the scheduled first pitch with a temperature of 85 degrees – and a low of 73 – partly cloudy skies and west wind at 5 mph.

Phillies vs Braves Probable Pitchers

Nick Nelson (3-1, 3.94) is expected to start a bullpen game for the Phillies against rookie Spencer Strider (5-3, 2.91). Both will be pitching on six days of rest.

Strider had +10000 NL Cy Young Award odds.

Nelson vs Strider

3-1
Record
5-3
3.94
ERA
2.91
3.92
xERA
2.75
1.31
WHIP
1.02
2.09
SO/W
3.87

Nelson will be making his second start of the season and 28th appearance. This would normally be Kyle Gibson’s turn in the Phillies’ rotation, but he is on the bereavement list following the death of his grandmother.

Nelson’s other start came July 10 when he faced the Cardinals in St. Louis and gave up one run in two innings. He did not factor in the decision in a game the Phillies lost.

#️⃣4️⃣ on #TheFilthiest for 2022-4-29: Nick Nelson’s 4-Seam Fastball to Pete Alonso 😯

MPH 🚀: 97.1
RPM 💫: 2094
FiFaX 🤯: [email protected] #RingTheBell | @Mets #LGM pic.twitter.com/ciatnZj4jX

— Dayv Doberne ⚾ (@Sunyveil_Sports) April 30, 2022

Against the Braves, Nelson is 0-1 in his career with a 5.40 ERA over three relief appearance. The only time Nelson has pitched at Truist Park was May 24 and he was charged with two runs (one earned) in one inning out of the bullpen.

Nelson has a 5.12 ERA on the road this season and a 3.86 mark at night. The Phillies are 12-15 in games Nelson has pitched in this year.

Strider has made 11 starts after 11 relief appearances to begin the season. Over his last nine starts, Strider has gone 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA.

Strider beat the Phillies last Tuesday in Philadelphia, allowing one run and three hits in six innings with six strikeouts and one walk. He is 2-0 against them lifetime with a 1.04 ERA in two games (one start).

Spencer Strider could become the first rookie in MLB history with 100+ innings pitched to have a 25.0+ K-BB%, in a single season.

Strider currently has a 27.6 K-BB% through 80.1 innings.pic.twitter.com/tDAU8GkECj

— Kevin Keneely (@KevinKeneely1) July 29, 2022

At home this season, Strider has a 2-1 record and 3.00 ERA in 11 games (five starts). He is 4-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 18 games (nine starts) at night. The Braves are 6-5 in Strider’s starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Phillies Batters
Batting Average vs Spencer Strider
Alec Bohm
.667
Kyle Schwarber
.200
Rhys Hoskins
.000
J.T. Realmuto
.000
Nick Castellanos
.000
Darick Hall
.000
Bryson Stott
.000
Didi Gregorius
.000
Edmundo Sosa
.000
Matt Vierling
.000
Odubel Herrera
.000
Braves Batters
Batting Average vs Nick Nelson
William Contreras
1.000
Michael Harris II
1.000
Eddie Rosario
.500
Dansby Swanson
.333
Ronald Acuna Jr.
.000
Marcell Ozuna
.000
Travis d’Arnaud
.000
Austin Riley
.000
Ehire Adrianza
.000

Third baseman Alec Bohm is 2 for 3 against Strider but the rest of the Phillies are only 1 for 26. Braves hitters are a combined 4 for 12 off Nelson.

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Phillies vs Braves Betting Outlook

Bohm had four hits, including a double and home run, to lead the Phillies over the Pirates on Sunday. His four hits came in the span of the first five pitches he saw.

The last Philadelphia Phillie with more hits in July than Alec Bohm was Jimmy Rollins:

Bohm (2022) — 33 Hits in 20 Games
Rollins (2011) — 34 Hits in 25 Games pic.twitter.com/XCF9dFOQgE

— Phillies Muse (@Phillies_Muse) August 1, 2022

Nick Castellanos also had four hits for the Phillies and J.T. Realmuto added three. Kyle Schwarber hit his NL-leading 33rd home run.

A walk-off double by Austin Riley in the bottom of the ninth accounted for the game’s lone run as the Braves beat the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Riley then got a $10-million, $212-million contract extension Monday.

The Braves designated veteran second baseman Robinson Cano for assignment Monday and acquired utility infielder Ehire Adrianza from the Washington Nationals in a trade.

The Phillies and Braves have split 10 games this season, including four in Atlanta.

Bohm is hitting .390 (16 for 41) against the Braves with three homers and Realmuto is batting .353 (12 for 34) with one double and two home runs. Riley is 15 for 38 (.395) against the Phillies with six doubles and one longball.

AUSTIN RILEY IS THE BEST PLAYER IN THE NATIONAL LEAGUE pic.twitter.com/7uAQH8H7GB

— WORLD SERIES CHAMPIONS Barstool Atlanta (@Barstool_ATL) July 31, 2022

The series is also tied at 49-49 since 2017.

Phillies vs Braves Last 10 Games

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Score
7/27/22
Phillies
Braves
PHI, 7-2
7/26/22
Phillies
Braves
ATL, 6-3
7/25/22
Phillies
Braves
PHI, 6-4
6/30/22
Phillies
Braves
PHI, 14-4
6/29/22
Phillies
Braves
ATL, 4-1
6/28/22
Phillies
Braves
ATL, 5-3
5/26/22
Braves
Phillies
PHI, 4-1
5/25/22
Braves
Phillies
ATL, 8-4
5/24/22
Braves
Phillies
ATL, 6-5
5/23/22
Braves
Phillies
PHI, 7-3

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The Phillies are rolling and should have a better idea of how to attack Strider after facing his last week. Even though it is a bullpen day, Philadelphia makes for an intriguing underdog pick at a tasty price.

Pick: Phillies ML (+190)

 

 

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John Perrotto

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
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Sports Writer

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

Author: Jesse Smith