Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls Odds & Prediction

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls Odds & Prediction

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls

Apr 24, 2022; Orlando, Florida, USA; New York Red Bulls midfielder Lewis Morgan (10) celebrates scoring from a penaty kick with forward Patryk Klimala (9) in the second half at Exploria Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

Orlando City hosts the New York Red Bulls in the semifinals of the US Open Cup on Wednesday, July 27th at 7:30 pm ET
The match is being played at Exploria Stadium in Orlando, Florida
Get the Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls odds, analysis, and betting prediction below

Since March, the US Open Cup has whittled down 99 of its original 103 participants. Now, we are left with four clubs desperate to get their hands on a piece of silverware that has not been raised in two years. The semifinals take place on Wednesday night and the match to keep your eye on is Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls.

All in all, these clubs have both put together campaigns to be proud of so far. Currently, Orlando City sits in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, while the Red Bulls claim third place just six points higher. Moreover, they had to each win four matches to get to this point in the US Open Cup. In the last round, Orlando snuck past Nashville on penalty kicks while the Red Bulls romped NYCFC in the Hudson River Derby.

The winner of this match takes on either Sporting KC or Sacramento Republic. In my honest opinion, whoever wins this semifinal already has one hand on the trophy.

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls Odds

Matchup
Moneyline Odds (Regular Time)
Orlando City SC
+150
New York Red Bulls
+160
Draw
+215

Odds as of July 26 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the US Open Cup 

Overall, the moneyline favors Orlando City at home, just marginally with odds of +150. However, any moneyline play here has great value considering they all have substantial plus odds. In fact, the Red Bulls moneyline at +160 is tempting, considering they have beaten Orlando in their last three head-to-head matches.

If you’re new to betting on this sport, please take a look at our How to Bet Soccer pages.

Draw No Bet and Over/Under Odds

Now, if you are not feeling as confident with the New York Red Bulls, you can always place a draw no bet play. If they draw in regular time, the bet pushes. All we have to do in this scenario is give a little juice back. In this case, the draw no bet for the Red Bulls sits at -105.

The goal line is hard to read with this semifinal as the over and under on 2.5 total goals have odds of -115. I would probably lean into the under considering that the over on 2.5 total goals has only hit in 35% of their last 20 combined matches.

Red Bulls the More Clinical Side
It does not take many eye tests to see that the Red Bulls are just a better team when compared to Orlando. Firstly, they have the better goal scorers with the likes of Lewis Morgan, Patryk Klimala and Luquinhas. But, more importantly, they are more clinical in seeing results over the line.

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls Statistics

1.18
Goals per game
1.55
1.13
Expected goals per game
1.49
1.41
Goals allowed per game
1.14
1.44
Expected goals allowed per game
1.34
50.7%
Possession %
42.7%
32.0%
Clean Sheet %
23.0%
10.8
Shots per game
13.60

*From league play

Coincidentally, both clubs have won their xG/xGA battle just two times in their last ten MLS matches. Orlando City won two of those ten games, while New York won five. To me, that emphasizes how good they are at taking their chances despite maybe not being expected to score or having a lot of the ball.

Magic Man (& Marked Man) ? #RBNY creator Luquinhas is attracting attention (wanted and not) in @mls and #USOC2022 @NewYorkRedBulls ?» https://t.co/OourPMZt7z pic.twitter.com/ZD9wPe1jxB

— U.S. Open Cup (@opencup) July 25, 2022

 

Manager, Gerhard Struber, has already prefaced this match by saying he wants his team to be proactive in attack and press in key moments. I have a hard time seeing Orlando’s defense coping with that. If you need any more proof of a potential Red Bulls win here, they are 9-3-2 on the road this season in all competitions and just defeated one of the top teams in MLS this weekend, beating Austin 4-3 in Texas.

Heading into its second consecutive U.S. Open Cup semifinal, Orlando City is trying to snap a three-match winless streak.

The Other Side I https://t.co/4TgW3hrXPlhttps://t.co/vDDhZ22eCR

— New York Red Bulls (@NewYorkRedBulls) July 26, 2022

 

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Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls Projected Lineups and Injuries

Orlando City SC Projected Lineup: Gallese, Moutinho, Jansson, Schlegel, Ruan, Mulraney, Araujo, Perea, Torres, Pereya, Kara

Injuries & Absences: Gonzales

New York Red Bulls Projected Lineup: Coronel, Tolkin, Long, Nealis, Edwards, Casseres Jr., Amaya, Luquinhas, Morgan, Fernandez, Klimala

Injuries & Absences: Marcucci

Orlando City SC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

Finally, the best bet for this match is the draw no bet in favor of the New York Red Bulls. A cup semifinal, away from home, can go in a variety of directions, which is why I feel more comfortable taking this play over the Red Bulls moneyline.

Pick: New York Red Bulls DNB (-105)

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Josh Ricker

NBA
MLB
Soccer
Sports Writer

Sports Writer

Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.

NBA
MLB
Soccer

Josh Ricker is a freelance sports journalist, currently attending the University of Southern Maine (Bachelor of Science in Sports Management and Marketing). He has recently interned with the AA Portland Sea Dogs, and his work has been featured on Fansided, as well as now here on SBD.

Author: Jesse Smith