Orioles vs Reds Odds & Picks (July 29)

Orioles vs Reds Odds & Picks (July 29)

Orioles vs Reds odds

Jul 28, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles shortstop Ruben Mateo (3), outfielders Cedric Mullins (31) and Ryan McKenna (26) celebrate a win against the Tampa Bay Rays at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are -130 road favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in an MLB inter-league game slated for Friday, July 29
It’s the first meeting between these two teams since 2017
Baltimore is 6-1 straight up in the past seven games against Cincinnati

The Baltimore Orioles (50-49, 21-29 away) are facing the Cincinnati Reds (38-60, 22-31 home) for the first time since 2017. That’s not all that’s happening in Baltimore for the first time since 2017.

Five years ago was the last occasion that the Orioles were at 50 wins for the season in July. It was also the previous year in which the O’s didn’t find themselves located in the baseman of the American League East at this stage of the season.

Baltimore is also contending for the playoffs, The Orioles are just three games out of an AL Wild Card postseason position.

While they aren’t in the postseason hunt, the Reds are also showing some life following a dreadful start. Cincinnati is 10-6 over the past 16 games.

Still, it’s the visiting Orioles who are set as -130 road favorites as these two clubs open a three-game weekend series. Baltimore is an MLB-best 64-35 (64.7%) against the run line this season.

First pitch at Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 pm ET on Friday, July 29. The weather forecast is showing cloudy skies with 8 mph wind and a temperature of 83 degrees.

Orioles vs Reds Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Baltimore Orioles
-130
OFF
O 9.5 (-115)
Cincinnati Reds
+110
OFF
U 9.5 (-105)

Odds as of July 29 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook promo code for MLB here

At odds of -130, the Orioles are offering an implied probability of victory of 56.52% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Baltimore would deliver a payout of $17.70.

In a bit of an odd twist, the Orioles are +100000 to win the AL East in the MLB Division odds. However, in the World Series odds, bettors can access +50000 odds on the Orioles to be MLB champions. The MLB pennant odds have the Orioles at +20000. Cincinnati is a +30000 dark horse to win the NL Central. The Reds are +100000 to win the NL pennant and +200000 to win the World Series.

Baltimore vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers

Orioles right-hander Dean Kremer is expected to be making his 10th start of the season. He’s 1-1 in July with a 5.68 ERA and 1.53 WHIP.

Kremer rates among the bottom percentage of MLB pitchers in xwOBAcon (.405) and in the bottom 7% in xSLG (.472). He’s in the bottom 10% in xBA (.274).

Dean Kremer, Wicked 77mph Curveball. ? pic.twitter.com/EQ0yodt7iq

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 24, 2022

Kremer is 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA in four road starts this season. He’s also 1-0 with an 0.00 ERA in three night starts.

This will be his first time facing the Reds. In fact, it will be Kremer’s first MLB appearance against a National League club.

Kremer vs Minor Stats

3-2
Record
1-7
3.06
ERA
6.65
5.22
xERA
5.08
1.30
WHIP
1.61
2.92
SO/W Ratio
2.16

Sometimes, a pitcher’s won-loss record can be a misrepresentation of how they’re actually performing on the mound. That isn’t the case with Reds left-hander Mike Minor. He’s been every bit as bad as advertised.

Minor is 0-5 in his past six starts. He’s allowed at least four runs in seven of his nine starts this season. His ERA has been over 6.00 for the entire season. In six home starts, Minor is 0-6 with a 6.75 ERA.

Mike Minor: https://t.co/pv29JFoZci pic.twitter.com/9ZvA28oTCu

— Reds in Four (@RedsInFour) July 28, 2022

Minor’s advanced metrics show him to be in the bottom 2% of MLB hurlers in wOBA (.401) and the bottom 4% in xSLG (.485). He’s 0-3 with a 5.31 ERA in four July starts.

The veteran southpaw does show success against Baltimore, though. In eight career appearances, including five starts, Minor is 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Reds Batters
Batting Average vs Kremer
Orioles Batters
Batting Average vs Minor
Brandon Drury
.000
Robinson Chirinos
.333
Stuart Fairchild
.000
Austin Hayes
.000
Kyle Farmer
.000
Trey Mancini
.222
Jonathan India
.000
Jorge Mateo
.000
Mark Kolozsvary
.000
Ryan McKenna
1.000
Mike Moustakas
.000
Ryan Mountcastle
.000
Tyler Naquin
.000
Cedric Mullins
.000
Michael Papierski
.000
Tyler Nevin
.000
Tommy Pham
.000
Rougned Odor
.000
Matt Reynolds
.000
Adley Rutschman
.000
Nick Senzel
.000
Anthony Santander
.000
Donovan Solano
.000
Ramon Urias
.000
Joey Votto
.000
Terrin Vavra
.000

Baltimore’s Ryan McKenna is a perfect 2-for-2 (1.000) when facing Minor. Robinson Chirinos is 2-for-6 (.333) with an RBI.

Always have to enjoy the walk-off winners to complete the sweep ?

(via @Orioles) pic.twitter.com/a1dc4kU3wp

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) July 25, 2021

No Reds batter has ever faced Kremer in an MLB game.

Caesars Sportsbook Promo Code: Claim a $1,500 Risk-Free Bet for UFC 277 and MLB!

Orioles vs Reds Prediction

The Orioles have have assembled a winning record in consecutive months for the first time since 2016. They’re 15-5 SU over the past 20 games. Baltimore is 12-9 SU over the club’s past 21 road games. The Birds have also covered the run line in each of their past eight victories.

In possibly his last at bat as an Oriole in Camden Yards….. Trey Mancini hits an inside the Park Home Run

How can you not be romantic about baseball. pic.twitter.com/615ZrcDnY3

— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) July 28, 2022

The Reds are certainly playing much better than the team that started the season 3-22. Even at that, there’s only one MLB club with fewer wins this season than Cincinnati.

Pick: Baltimore Orioles ML (-130)

Author Image

Robert Duff

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
NCAAF
NCAAB
Tennis
Sports Writer

Sports Writer

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
NCAAF
NCAAB
Tennis

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

Author: Jesse Smith