Opening 2023 Vezina Trophy Odds

Opening 2023 Vezina Trophy Odds

Igor Shesterkin, the favorite in the 2023 Vezina Trophy odds, looks on against the Tampa Bay Lightning

Jun 11, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; New York Rangers goaltender Igor Shesterkin (31) looks on during the first period against the Tampa Bay Lightning in game six of the Eastern Conference Final of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Igor Shesterkin is a +250 favorite to repeat in the opening 2023 Vezina Trophy Award odds
There hasn’t been a repeat winner of the Vezina Trophy since Martin Brodeur in 2007 and 2008
Andrei Vasilevskiy and Ilya Sorokin are the only other goalies with odds shorter than +1000

Opening 2023 Vezina Trophy odds have been released with the offseason NHL goalie carrousel winding down.  Now that each team’s starting goalie for 2022-23 is practically set, we can provide you with our Vezina analysis and best bet.

Oddsmakers have made last year’s winner, Igor Shesterkin, a heavy +250 favorite in the Vezina Trophy odds to repeat as the winner. However, this award has been very unpredictable in the last decade, with no repeat winner since Martin Brodeur captured the trophy in 2007 and 2008.

Let’s look at the odds for the top 20 goalies and give you some good predictions and our best pick to win this upcoming season’s Vezina Trophy.

2023 Vezina Trophy Odds

Player (Team)
Odds
Igor Shesterkin (Rangers)
+250
Andrei Vasilevskiy (Lightning)
+500
Ilya Sorokin (Islanders)
+800
Thatcher Demko (Canucks)
+1800
Jake Oettinger (Stars)
+1800
Connor Hellebuyck (Jets)
+2000
Jacob Markstrom (Flames)
+2000
Frederik Andersen (Hurricanes)
+2000
Robin Lehner (Golden Knights)
+2500
Darcy Kuemper (Capitals)
+2500
Carey Price (Canadiens)
+3000
Tristan Jarry (Penguins)
+3000
Sergei Bobrovsky (Panthers)
+3000
Matt Murray (Maple Leafs)
+3000
Marc-Andre Fleury (Wild)
+3000
Jordan Binnington (Blues)
+3000
Jack Campbell (Oilers)
+3000
Alexandar Georgiev (Rangers)
+3500
Carter Hart (Flyers)
+4000

Odds as of July 21st at DraftKings Sportsbook. See this list of DraftKings Sportsbook promos before wagering.

 

 

Considering the Vezina is an award without a lot of repeat winners in recent times, Shesterkin is big chalk at +250, which gives him an implied probability of 28.57% to win it for the second consecutive year.

Shesterkin Favored to Repeat in Vezina Trophy Odds

Based on his performance last season, Rangers’ Russian netminder Igor Shesterkin deserves to be the favorite in the opening 2023 Vezina Trophy odds. He absolutely dominated last season and received 29 of 32 first-place votes to win the 2022 Vezina in a landslide.

Shesterkin’s .935 save percentage was 10 points higher than the next best goalie, Ilya Sorokin, out of the netminders who played at least 50 games. He also comfortably led the league in goals-against average and goals saved above expected.

Igor Shesterkin (.935) posted the third highest save percentage of a Vezina Trophy winner under the current selection criteria, behind Tim Thomas (.938 in 2010-11) and Dominik Hasek (.937 in 1998-99). #NHLAwards #NHLStats: https://t.co/E9pThiCPCs pic.twitter.com/W138eKwO3K

— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) June 21, 2022

It was more debatable whether Shesterkin would win the Hart, which he was a finalist for, as he had the Vezina locked up with his incredible year. Still, history dictates that it will be somebody else’s turn this year, and at odds of +250, you’re not getting a great bang for your buck if you pick Shesterkin to repeat.

The odds definitely should be taken into consideration when you make your Vezina Trophy pick. Last year was Shesterkin’s first full season as an NHL starter, so there will be more film on him and more teams will be ready to break him down and pick those holes.

Longshots to Consider in Vezina Trophy Odds

While it’s unlikely someone will come out of nowhere to win this year’s award, there are a couple of longshots that should be strongly considered in the 2023 Vezina Trophy odds.

Jordan Binnington seems like a good value play at +3000. He’s got a chip on his shoulder after having his playoffs ended early and is back in the saddle as the legitimate number one in St. Louis with Ville Husso’s departure to Detroit.

Binnington with the save pic.twitter.com/P2cNCMRmlR

— Tony X (@soIoucity) March 20, 2021

Binnington is only 29, already a Stanley Cup champion, and playing behind a sound and solid team. While he has faltered in the regular season the last couple of years, he had a 1.72 GAA and .949 save percentage in six playoff games last year.

Shesterkin’s former backup, Alexandar Georgiev is also a longshot to consider at odds of +3500. He was signed by the Avalanche last week and it’s always a positive to be backstopping the favorites in the Stanley Cup odds.

“Hearing that the Stanley Cup champions believe in you and believe you are the guy, that’s all I ever wanted. I believe in myself. I am working hard to prove they’re right.”#GoAvsGohttps://t.co/ZACSb5oNrD

— Colorado Avalanche (@Avalanche) July 13, 2022

Colorado’s defense should be even better this year than last season. Josh Manson will be on the blue line from opening night and Bowen Byram will only get better after a tremendous rookie season and playoff campaign. This should add up to a very strong year for Georgiev in his first season with the Avs.

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Best Bets in 2023 Vezina Trophy Odds?

The best bets to make for this year’s award are the guys that sit just outside the top three favorites. Juuse Saros (+1000), Thatcher Demko (+1800) and Jake Oettinger (+1800) all have a terrific chance to win this year’s award.

It seems as if Saros flies under the radar when people talk about the best goalies in the league. He was third in Vezina Trophy voting last year and finished sixth the year before. Nashville’s acquisition of Ryan McDonagh fortifies the defense and you can bet the 27-year-old Saros is over the moon about his new rearguard.

anyways, here’s an absolutely increible save by Juuse Saros pic.twitter.com/JkdoBkRat0

— Nashville Predators (@PredsNHL) December 30, 2021

Like Saros, Demko was a workhouse last year. He played the third most games of any goalie in the league, and to win this award, you’ll have to play at least 50 games, something only 17 goaltenders did last year.

While Demko’s numbers last year don’t pop out, he was much better after Bruce Boudreau took over behind the bench, going 25-11-6 with a 2.61 GAA and .918 save percentage after Travis Green was replaced.

Lastly, the youngster who stole the spotlight and almost a first-round series against the Flames, Jake Oettinger. He was the revelation of the 2022 NHL postseason, posting a ridiculous .954 save percentage and 1.81 GAA. It’s got fans all over the league salivating to see what he can do for an encore this year.

Greatest playoff goaltending performance I’ve ever seen in my life by Jake Oettinger.

— Paul Bissonnette (@BizNasty2point0) May 16, 2022

2023 Vezina Trophy Prediction

Although Shesterkin was far and away the best goalie in the league last year, the 2023 Vezina Trophy odds are too heavily weighted in his favor at +250, and he doesn’t have enough experience to justify taking the action at that money.

You do have to pick a goalie from a team you feel will make the playoffs, as Sergei Bobrovsky in 2013 is the only Vezina Trophy winner to come from a team that didn’t make the playoffs in modern NHL history.

When weighing all the factors, our prediction is to take Demko with odds of +1800. Although the Canucks didn’t make the playoffs last year, they played much better after the coaching change (32-15-10 under Boudreau) and teams like the Flames will likely take a step back this year.

This Thatcher Demko brilliancy happened back in November and we STILL can’t get over it! 😧 pic.twitter.com/6YbxcZexRZ

— NHL (@NHL) July 18, 2022

My second choice would be Saros at +1000 as he is poised for another strong year, especially with an improved team in front of him. But at +1800 odds, the 26-year-old Demko is the pick here.

Pick: Thatcher Demko (Canucks) +1800

 

Author: Jesse Smith