Odds to Be Number 1 Seed in NFL Playoffs for AFC & NFC

Odds to Be Number 1 Seed in NFL Playoffs for AFC & NFC

Odds to Be Number 1 Seed in NFL Playoffs for AFC & NFC

Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey goes over a play with quarterback Josh Allen on the fourth day of the Buffalo Bills training camp at St. John Fisher University in Rochester Wednesday, July 27, 2022.

Sd 072722 Bills Camp 2 Spts

Oddsmakers are setting the Buffalo Bills as the +275 favorites to be the #1 seed in the AFC for the 2022 NFL playoffs
In the NFC, it’s the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +325 holding forth as the #1 seed
See all of the odds for every AFC and NFC team to gain the top seed in their NFL conference in the story below

Odds are out projecting the top seeds in both the AFC and NFC for the 2022 NFL Playoffs. Based on the NFL betting trends from the past six seasons, one of the Buffalo Bills or Tampa Bay Buccaneers is likely to be the correct play in NFL futures bets.

Looking at those trends, the team you should probably be betting on is the Bills. Since 2016, at least one of the two teams that sports betting sites were projecting to be the #1 seed in either the AFC or NFC has delivered on that promise in four of the six seasons.

Three of the four times, the team delivering those goods was from the AFC. The Kansas City Chiefs were projected and finished as the top seed in the AFC in 2020. The New England Patriots made their top seeding prediction become reality in 2016 and 2017.

Last season, the Green Bay Packers came through as the NFC top seed, just as the preseason prognosticators were predicting them to be.

The Bills are given +275 odds to finish as the top seed in the AFC during the 2020 NFL season. Meanwhile, it’s the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are the +325 betting choice to finish atop the NFC regular-season standings.

2022 NFC #1 Seed Odds

Team
Odds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+325
Green Bay Packers
+475
Dallas Cowboys
+500
Los Angeles Rams
+600
San Francisco 49ers
+1000
Arizona Cardinals
+1100
Minnesota Vikings
+1500
Philadelphia Eagles
+1500
New Orleans Saints
+2000
Washington Commanders
+2500
New York Giants
+3000
Chicago Bears
+4000
Carolina Panthers
+6000
Atlanta Falcons
+10000
Detroit Lions
+10000
Seattle Seahawks
+10000

Odds as of July 29 at PointsBet Sportsbook. Claim this PointsBet Sportsbook promo code before betting

At odds of +325, the Buccaneers are given an implied probability of victory of 23.53%. At a wager of $10, a successful top seed in the AFC earned by the Bills would bring a payout of $42.50.

Are the Buccaneers the Best Bet In NFC?

In his two seasons as Tampa Bay’s quarterback, Tom Brady has led the Buccaneers to a Super Bowl win, an NFC South title and a pair of playoff appearances. What he’s never done, though, is get them there as the #1 seed. In fact, when Tampa Bay won the Super Bowl two seasons ago, the Bucs, an NFC Wild Card team, got to the big game by winning three straight road playoff games.

You love to see it.#GoBucs pic.twitter.com/OJpiUOI2FK

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@Buccaneers) July 27, 2022

The New England top seedings in 2016-17 were Brady’s doing, so it’s never wise to count him out. Since 2010, though, just three NFC teams projected to top the conference standings actually have – Green Bay last season and in 2011 and the Seattle Seahawks in 2014. Tampa Bay is also the top choice in the NFL Playoffs odds among NFC teams.

Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+325)

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Don’t Sleep On the Eagles

The smart money says the Eagles can’t be a Super Bowl contender with Jalen Hurts at QB. Well, you know what? The Eagles won a Super Bowl with Nick Foles as their QB.

Highest yards per rush in @NFL since start of 2020
(min. 300 attempts)

Nick Chubb 5.6
MILES SANDERS 5.4
Jonathan Taylor [email protected] | @Eagles pic.twitter.com/0ij4NRI7g9

— NFL on CBS ? (@NFLonCBS) July 21, 2022

Philly’s chances of topping the NFC at +1500 odds are buoyed by the fact they’ve been blessed with the easiest ride in terms of NFL strength of schedule. If they can win the battle for the weak NFC East with the Dallas Cowboys, the Eagles could land the NFC’s top seed.

2022 AFC #1 Seed Odds

Team
Odds
Buffalo Bills
+275
Kansas City Chiefs
+600
Baltimore Ravens
+750
Los Angeles Chargers
+750
Denver Broncos
+800
Cincinnati Bengals
+1000
Indianapolis Colts
+1200
New England Patriots
+1500
Tennessee Titans
+1800
Miami Dolphins
+2000
Cleveland Browns
+2500
Las Vegas Raiders
+3000
Pittsburgh Steelers
+5000
Houston Texans
+10000
Jacksonville Jaguars
+10000
New York Jets
+10000

At odds of +275, the Bills are given an implied probability of victory of 26.67%. At a wager of $10, a successful top seed in the AFC earned by the Bills would bring a payout of $37.50.

Will the Bills Cash In AFC?

The last time Buffalo landed the top seed in the AFC was 1993. That was also the last time the Bills went to the Super Bowl.

Droppin’ dimes. [email protected] | @Dawson_Knox pic.twitter.com/DvgcEkoY83

— Buffalo Bills (@BuffaloBills) July 28, 2022

Oddsmakers are banking on the Bills an awful lot this season. Buffalo is the +300 favorite in the AFC Championship odds.

The Bills seem to find ways to squander prosperity, however. Last season, a road loss to the woeful Jacksonville Jaguars cost Buffalo a chance at the top seed in the AFC.

Colts Are Worth a Look

Last season’s AFC top seed was from the AFC South. Could history repeat itself?

Seeking value in the AFC in terms of a top-seed play, look no further than the Indianapolis Colts. They’re adding QB Matt Ryan to an offense that features NFL rushing leader Jonathan Taylor and underrated wideout Michael Pittman Jr. And Indy’s defense is stout.

Really interesting observation from Colts HC Frank Reich. Says practice ended 10 minutes earlier both Wed. and today bc Matt Ryan is intentionally pushing the tempo.

He told Reich he’d do this and Reich said the following: “We’ll follow your lead.”

Ryan’s running this show.

— Stephen Holder (@HolderStephen) July 28, 2022

Defending champion Tennessee figures to regress and the Jaguars and Houston Texans are far from prime time performers. The AFC South could be the NFL’s weakest division.

Pick: Indianapolis Colts (+1200)

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Robert Duff

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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
NCAAF
NCAAB
Tennis

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

Author: Jesse Smith