National Bank Open Round of 32 Odds & Picks (Aug 10)

National Bank Open Round of 32 Odds & Picks (Aug 10)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

May 29, 2022; Paris, France; Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN) reacts to a point during his match against Rafael Nadal (ESP) on day eight of the French Open at Stade Roland-Garros. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports

The top eight seeds finally swing into action Wednesday at the National Bank Open
Alex de Minaur is favored over No. 15 Grigor Dimitrov and Karen Khachanov over No. 13 Marin Cilic
Read on as we break down some of the matchups and find the best value.

There was a lot of rain in Montreal Monday. And that, in essence, leveled the playing field.

Most of the players who aren’t among the top eight seeds are playing back-to-back days.

National Bank Open Men’s Round of 32 Odds

Matchups
Odds
 Tommy Paul (USA) vs. [2] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)
+300/-400
[4] Casper Ruud (NOR) vs. Alex Molcan (SVK)
-345/+265
Jenson Brooksby (USA) vs. [14] Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP)
-115/-108
[7] Jannik Sinner (USA) vs. [Q] Adrian Mannarino (FRA)
-590/+420
[1] Daniil Medvedev (RUS) vs. Nick Kyrgios (AUS)
-180/+143
[17] Gaël Monfils (FRA) vs. Maxime Cressy (USA)
+117/-143
[13] Marin Cilic (CRO) vs. Karen Khachanov (RUS)
+102/-127
Alex de Minaur (AUS) vs. [15] Grigor Dimitrov (BUL)
-200/+160
[5] Andrey Rublev (RUS) vs. Daniel Evans (GBR)
-278/+215
[Q] Jack Draper (GBR) vs. [3] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)
+255/-335
Frances Tiafoe (USA) vs. [10] Taylor Fritz (USA)
TBA
[9] Cameron Norrie (GBR) vs. Botic Van de Zandschulp (NED)
TBA
[12] Diego Schwartzman (ARG) vs. Albert Ramos Viñolas (ESP)
TBA
Holger Rune (DEN) vs. Pablo Carreño Busta (ESP)
TBA
[SE] Yoshihita Nishioka (JPN) vs. [6] Félix Auger-Aliassime (CAN)
TBA

Odds as of Aug. 10 at Barstool Sportsbook.

Daniil Medvedev (+260) remains the favorite to win the tournament, followed by No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz (+425) and Jannik Sinner (+600).

Next comes Nick Kyrgios at +800. But he is Medvedev’s opening opponent on Wednesday, so something will have to give.

 

 

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Medvedev vs Kyrgios Prediction

This is the most highly anticipated clash in the early going. And on paper, Kyrgios is playing better, and has played more often in recent weeks, than the world No. 1.

Both are coming into Montreal fresh from a tournament title.

Medvedev won the ATP 250 in Los Cabos, Mexico (where there was a 28-player draw and he only had to win four matches). Kyrgios won the bigger ATP 500 in Washington, D.C., where he had to post six singles wins and three in doubles to take home both trophies.

He made the date in Montreal. But he looked out of wind by the end of his 6-4, 6-4 victory over Canadian Open rookie Sebastian Baez.

Kyrgios actually has two wins over Medvedev, but they were back in 2019 before the Russian rose to the top of the game.

Medvedev won the most crucial one – this year, at Kyrgios’s “home” Grand Slam at the Australian Open. That went four sets.

This could go two ways. Either Kyrgios is just so motivated to beat the No. 1 that he finds some energy somewhere.

Or, he hits the physical and mental wall and there could be drama.

Despite Kyrgios’s impressive play the last few months, we’re betting on the latter.

Pick: Medvedev in Two Sets (+148)

De Minaur vs Dimitrov Prediction

De Minaur is actually the favorite, even though Dimitrov is the seed.

But the difference in ranking is so small – de Minaur is No. 21, Dimitrov No. 19 – that the seeds are pretty irrelevant in this case.

Their head-to-head is 1-1.

It was after 11:30 p.m. Tuesday when Grigor Dimitrov finally finished off his second win of the day, in doubles with Andrey Rublev over the Wimbledon champions (Photo by Stephanie Myles/OpenCourt.ca)

The courts in Montreal this year are said to be slowish. Which you would think would favour de Minaur. He’ll also be more rested, as he only had to play a few minutes (and five points) to finish off a rain-interrupted match against Denis Shapovalov on Tuesday.

Dimitrov won his singles. And then he and Andrey Rublev played late into the night as they upset the Wimbledon doubles champions Ebden and Purcell in doubles.

The energy level might well be the difference, although we expect a close one.

Pick: Over 2.5 sets (+135)

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Monfils vs Cressy Prediction

Monfils, now 35, played his first match since Madrid, on clay back in early May, as he dispatched tournament alternate Pedro Martinez in three sets on Tuesday.

He admitted he was tired, and that he also had twisted his foot slightly.

And he knows that the serve-and-volley attack by Cressy – who is French but currently plays for the U.S., will be relentless.

It’s not a typical matchup, and Monfils’s tennis brain is a little rusty after the long layoff.

Cressy is the favorite for a reason.

Pick: Cressy in Two Sets (+175)

 

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Stephanie Myles

MLB
NHL
Tennis
Sports Writer

Sports Writer

Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She’s written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.

MLB
NHL
Tennis

Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She’s written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.

Author: Jesse Smith