Mets vs Braves Picks & Odds (July 11)

Mets vs Braves Picks & Odds (July 11)

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Max Fried delivering to home plate

Jul 6, 2022; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Max Fried (54) pitches against the St. Louis Cardinals during the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The Braves are -125 home favorites over the Mets on Monday night
Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.26) will start for New York against lefty Max Fried (9-2, 2.52)
A look at the Mets vs Braves odds can be found below with a pick

The top two teams in the National League East open a three-game series when the first-place New York Mets visit the second-place Atlanta Braves at 7:20 p.m. ET Monday at Truist Park.

Both teams played extra-inning games Sunday at home. The Mets lost 2-0 to the Miami Marlins in 10 innings and the Braves beat the Washington Nationals 4-3 in 12 innings.

The Mets (53-33/25-19 road) had won five of their previous six games. The Braves (52-35/30-18 home) have won four of their last five games and six of their last eight.

Mets vs Braves Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
New York Mets
+105
+1.5 (-190)
Over 7.5 (+105)
Atlanta Braves
-125
-1.5 (+160)
Under 7.5 (-125)

Odds as of July 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

 

The Braves are  -125 favorites and have a 55.36% implied win probability in a game that will be televised by FS1. The Mets have +750 World Series odds while the Braves are listed at +950 in their bid to repeat as champions.

The weather forecast calls for a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms around the scheduled first pitch with a gametime temperature of 80 degrees, a low of 71 and east wind at 5 mph.

New York vs Atlanta Probable Pitchers

Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.26) is scheduled to pitch for the Mets against left-hander Max Fried (9-2, 2.52). Scherzer will be working on five days of rest and Fried on four. In the NL Cy Young odds, Fried is +1300 and Scherzer is +6000.

Scherzer vs Fried

5-1
Record
9-2
2.26
ERA
2.52
3.00
xERA
2.81
0.88
WHIP
1.02
6.36
SO/W
5.88

Scherzer made his first start since May 18 last Tuesday after being on the injured list with a strained oblique.

He pitched six scoreless innings against the Reds at Cincinnati but did not receive a decision. He allowed two hits and struck out 11 while walking none.

Mad Max also knows it’s wise to stop and say hello the owner who signed you to a three-year, $130-million contract in free agency.

Max Scherzer and Steve Cohen catch up this afternoon at Citi Field: pic.twitter.com/tIKHosiyRW

— SNY (@SNYtv) July 9, 2022

Scherzer has a 10-9 lifetime record against the Braves and a 3.89 ERA in 28 games (26 starts). At Truist Park, he is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA.

In five road starts this season, Scherzer has gone 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA. He is 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA in six nighttime starts.

Since losing his first two starts of the season, Fried is 9-0 with a 2.15 ERA in his past 15 rotation turns.

Fried pitched six shutout innings to beat the St. Louis Cardinals last Wednesday at home. He scattered five hits while striking out five and walking one before leaving the game with tightness in his left glute. Fried is expected to pitch Monday.

Lifetime against the Mets, Fried is 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA in 17 games (12 starts).

Since the start of the 2020 season, only Corbin Burnes and Sandy Alcantara have posted a better ERA than Max Fried among qualified MLB starters.

Atlanta’s ace has 308 strikeouts to 77 walks over that span. pic.twitter.com/3vZXFcRp1b

— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) July 7, 2022

Fried has a 5-2 record and 2.66 ERA at Truist Park this season in 11 starts. He is 8-1 with a 2.40 ERA in 14 starts at night.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mets Batters
Batting Average vs Max Fried
Mark Canha
.667
Luis Guillorme
.500
Tomas Nido
.400
Starling Marte
.364
J.D. Davis
.200
Pete Alonso
.191
Eduardo Escobar
.182
Brandon Nimmo
.154
Francisco Lindor
.083
Dominic Smith
.000
Braves Batters
Batting Average vs Max Scherzer
Orlando Arcia
.500
Eddie Rosario
.500
Ronald Acuna Jr.
.350
Marcell Ozuna
.250
Dansby Swanson
.200
Adam Duvall
.182
Austin Riley
.125
Phil Gosselin
.000

The Mets’ Starling Marte is 4 for 11 (.364) with two doubles off Fried. However, Francisco Lindor is only 1 for 12, though the hit is a home run.

Scherzer has had a hard time with the Braves’ Ronald Acuna Jr., who is hitting .350 (7 for 20) against the three-time Cy Young Award winner with one double, one triple and two homers. Travis d’Arnaud is just 5 for 28 (.179) with one double, one triples and two longballs.

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Mets vs Braves Betting Outlook

The Mets went 0 for 7 with runners in scoring position Sunday as they were shut out by the Marlins.

After the Marlins scored two runs in the top of the 10th inning to break a scoreless tie, the Mets put runners on the corners with two outs in the bottom half. However, Lindor struck out to end the game.

Mets closer Edwin Diaz at least kept it close in the ninth.

Elite. 💪 pic.twitter.com/5pzfQGqD8w

— New York Mets (@Mets) July 10, 2022

Luis Guillorme had three hits for New York.

The Mets will be without second baseman Jeff McNeil, who will be placed on the paternity list Monday.

Catcher James McCann was put on the injured list before Sunday’s game with a left oblique strain. Right fielder Starling Marte was also out of the lineup with left groin tightness and is doubtful for Monday night.

Austin Riley tied the game for the Braves in their victory over the Nationals on Sunday with a home run in the eighth inning then won it with an RBI single in the 12th. He is batting .489 in his last 10 games.

Riley had three hits and three RBIs to lead the Braves’ 12-hit attack. Dansby Swanson also had three hits and William Contreras added two.

[email protected] sends us home! #ForTheA pic.twitter.com/lGTGm0srDv

— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) July 10, 2022

The teams will be meeting for their second series of the season after splitting four games in May in New York. Marte went 6 for 13 (.462) with a double for the Mets While the Braves’ Matt Olson was just 3 for 13 (.231), he hit two doubles and a home run while drawing four walks.

The Braves are 43-28 against the Mets since the start of the 2018 season.

NYM vs ATL Last 10 Games

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Score
5/4/22
Mets
Braves
ATL, 9-2
5/3/22 (2)
Mets
Braves
NYM, 3-0
5/3/22 (1)
Mets
Braves
NYM, 5-4
5/2/22
Mets
Braves
ATL, 5-2
10/3/21
Braves
Mets
ATL, 5-0
10/2/21
Braves
Mets
ATL, 6-5
10/1/21
Braves
Mets
NYM, 4-3
7/29/21
Mets
Braves
ATL, 6-3
7/28/21
Mets
Braves
NYM, 2-1
7/27/21
Mets
Braves
ATL, 12-5

Mets vs Braves Prediction

This battle of Maxs should be a treat. The fiery Scherzer has reason to want to beat the Braves after being injured against them last season during the National League Championship Series while pitching for the Dodgers and missing his last scheduled start. Los Angeles then lost the series, ending its chances of back-to-back World Series titles.

Pick: Mets ML (+105)

 

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John Perrotto

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB
Sports Writer

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

Author: Jesse Smith