Marlins vs Phillies Picks & Odds (Aug 9)

Marlins vs Phillies Picks & Odds (Aug 9)

Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler walking off the mound

Aug 3, 2022; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler (45) reacts as he leaves the pitchers mound during the game against the Atlanta Braves during the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies are -225 home favorites over the Marlins on Tuesday night.
Rookie lefty Braxton Garrett (2-5, 3.88) will start for Miami against Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69)
A look at the Marlins vs Phillies odds can be found below with a pick

The red-hot Philadelphia Phillies will host the Miami Marlins at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies (60-48, 30-25 home) increased their winning streak to five games Sunday with a 13-1 rout of the visiting Washington Nationals while notching their 10th victory in the last 11 games. The Marlins (49-59, 26-31 road) beat the Cubs 3-0 on Sunday in Chicago for just their second win in nine games.

Both teams were off Monday.

Marlins vs Phillies Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Miami Marlins
+190
+1.5 (-120)
Over 7.5 (-120)
Philadelphia Phillies
-220
-1.5 (+100)
Under 7.5 (+100)

Odds as of August 8th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

 

The Phillies have a 69.23% implied win probability as -225 favorites. In the World Series odds, Philadelphia is listed at +40000 and the Marlins at +100000.

Marlins vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

Rookie left-hander Braxton Garrett (2-5, 3.88) is expected to pitch for the Marlins against Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69). Garrett will be working on six days of rest and Wheeler, who has +2500 National League Cy Young Award odds, on five.

Garrett vs Wheeler

2-5
Record
10-5
3.88
ERA
2.69
3.39
xERA
2.94
1.16
WHIP
1.01
4.71
SO/W
5.16

Garrett has lost his last two starts but had a solid outing against the Cincinnati Reds at home last Tuesday. In 5.2 innings, he allowed three (two earned), two hits and two walks while striking out 11.

Braxton Garrett was stellar tonight ♨️@Marlins | #MakeItMiami pic.twitter.com/OOSr2yEmKi

— Bally Sports Florida: Marlins (@BallyMarlins) August 3, 2022

Garrett is 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies. In his lone game at Citizens Bank Park, Garrett had a no-decision last season when he surrendered three runs (two earned) over 4.1 innings.

In seven starts on the road this season, Garrett has a 2-3 record and 4.23 ERA. He is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA in four starts are night. The Marlins are 5-6 in his starts.

Wheeler has gone 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA in his last six starts, including beating the Braves last Wednesday in his native Atlanta. He gave up one run on five hits in seven innings with seven strikeouts and no walks.

Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 career starters versus the Marlins.

He keeps impressive company.

Zack Wheeler and Steve Carlton pic.twitter.com/K00fNKcqDQ

— Alex Coffey (@byalexcoffey) August 7, 2022

Pitching at hitter friendly Citizens Bank Park hasn’t bothered Wheeler this season as he is 5-2 with a 1.58 ERA in 10 starts. He is 7-2 with a 2.22 ERA in 14 starts in night games. The Phillies are 11-9 when Wheeler takes the mound.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Marlins Batters
Batting Average vs Zack Wheeler
Bryan De La Cruz
1.000
Garrett Cooper
.375
Miguel Rojas
.333
Joey Wendle
.333
Jesus Aguilar
.167
Billy Hamilton
.143
Phillies Batters
Batting Average vs Braxton Garrett
Alec Bohm
1.000
Edmundo Sosa
.750
Rhys Hoskins
.500
J.T. Realmuto
.333
Jean Segura
.250

The Marlins’ Miguel Rojas is a .333 (9 for 27) hitter against Wheeler with a double and two home runs, but Jesus Aguilar is 2 for 12 (.,167) with a homer. Current Phillies hitters are 7 for 14 (.500) off Garrett.

Marlins vs Phillies Betting Outlook

Rookie Darick Hall hit two home runs, a pair of solo shots, to lead the Phillies to their blowout win over the Marlins on Sunday.

The ball just keeps going boom#RingTheBell pic.twitter.com/rH5Jb4iHcA

— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) August 7, 2022

Nick Maton and Rhys Hoskins each blasted two-run homers. Hoskins went deep in all four games of the series and the Phillies finished with 14, a franchise record for a single series.

Maton finished with three hits and four RBIs. Rookie Bryson Stott drove in three runs.

Jacob Stallings and rookie Peyton Burdick hit back-to-back home runs to account for all the scoring Sunday in the Marlins’ victory over the Cubs. It was Burdick’s first career homer.

The Marlins shut out the Cubs on two hits.

Take flight, Peyton. pic.twitter.com/xLwKb34dKj

— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) August 7, 2022

The Phillies lead the season series 6-4, including winning two of three in Philadelphia.

Hoskins has gone 12 for 36 (.333) with four doubles, a triple and three homers. Aguilar is 10 for 33 (.303) with a double and homer for the Marlins.

The Marlins hold a slight 39-38 edge in the series since 2018.

Marlins vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Score
7/17/22
Marlins
Phillies
MIA, 4-0
7/16/22
Marlins
Phillies
MIA, 10-0
7/15/22
Marlins
Phillies
MIA, 2-1
6/15/22
Phillies
Marlins
PHI, 3-1
6/14/22
Phillies
Marlins
MIA, 11-9
6/13/22
Phillies
Marlins
PHI, 3-2
4/17/22
Marlins
Phillies
MIA, 11-3
4/16/22
Marlins
Phillies
PHI, 10-3
4/15/22
Marlins
Phillies
MIA, 7-1
4/14/22
Marlins
Phillies
MIA, 4-3

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

Garrett is starting to show marked improvement. However, the Phillies are rolling, and Wheeler is extremely tough to beat at home.

Pick: Phillies ML (-225)

 

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John Perrotto

NFL
MLB
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Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

Author: Jesse Smith