Lightning vs Avalanche Game 1 Odds & Picks

Lightning vs Avalanche Game 1 Odds & Picks

Lightning vs Avalanche Game 1 Odds

Feb 10, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Avalanche left wing Gabriel Landeskog (92) sprays Tampa Bay Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy (88) in the second period at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Avalanche are -160 home favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup final on Wednesday, June 15
Colorado is 3-0 straight up at home in Game 1 of playoff series this spring
Below, see the Lightning vs Avalanche odds and picks for Game 1

There’s a symmetry at work as the Stanley Cup final between the Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning prepares to get underway.

In the spring of 2015, an upstart group of Tampa Bay Lightning, for whom great things were projected, arrived at the Stanley Cup final to face a Chicago Blackhawks team seeking its third Stanley Cup since 2010. Chicago won the series in six games,

This spring, it’s the Lightning seeking their third Stanley Cup since 2020. And it’s the Avs who are viewed as the team projected to be headed toward greatness. The difference this time around is that it’s the newbies that the oddsmakers are forecasting for success in the NHL betting lines. Colorado is the favorite in the Stanley Cup odds. The Avalanche are also the -160 chalk to emerge victorious in Game 1.

Lightning vs Avalanche Odds Game 1

Team
Puck Line
Total
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning
+1.5 (-190)
O 6 (-110)
+140
Colorado Avalanche
-1.5 (+160)
U 6 (-110)
-160

Odds as of June 13th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars promo codes. 

 

 

The puck is slated to drop for Game 1 at 8:00 pm ET at Ball Arena on Wednesday, June 15. The broadcast is being provided by ABC in the US and by CBC in Canada. Tampa Bay is 1-2 straight up on the road in Game 1 in these playoffs.

At a betting line of -160, the Avs are given an implied probability of victory of 61.54%. A $10 wager on Colorado would return a payout of $16.30.

NHL betting trends show the public to be of different minds. In spread betting,  84% of the bets placed are on the Lightning at +1.5. Moneyline players are more bullish on the Avs. Those splits show 60% of the moneyline bets are on the Avalanche at -160 odds. Public bettors are also anticipating goals. There is 86% of the public bets on the Over (6).

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Recent Results

Date
Home-Away
Moneyline
Puck Line
Over/Under
3/21/2022
Tampa Bay 7 Colorado 1
TB
TB
Over
10/19/2019
Tampa Bay 2 Colorado 6
COL
COL
Over
2/17/2020
Colorado 3 Tampa Bay 4 (OT)
TB
TB
Over
10/23/2021
Tampa Bay 3 Colorado 4 (SO)
COL
COL
Over
2/10/2022
Colorado 3 Tampa Bay 2
COL
TB
Under

Colorado enters the final series riding a five-game win streak. Tampa Bay has won four in a row.

Avalanche defenseman Cale Makar, favored in the Norris Trophy odds, will be playing his 50th Stanley Cup game. He’s collected 53 points so far. In NHL playoff history, Bobby Orr (66) and Brian Leetch (65) are the only defensemen with more points through their first 50 NHL games.

Makar (1.08) is among five players in this series averaging more than a point per game during the Stanley Cup careers. The others are Colorado’s Nathan MacKinnon (1.36) and Mikko Rantanen (1.21) and Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov (1.15) and Brayden Point (1.04).

With 23 points, Kucherov, a past Hart Trophy winner, is seeking to join Wayne Gretzky (1983-85), Mike Bossy (1981-83) and Bryan Trottier (1980-82) as the only NHLers with 25+ points in three successive playoff years.

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Tampa Bay vs Colorado Injury Report

Lightning forward Point has been out since round one with a leg injury. Bolts coach Jon Cooper is expecting Point to play in this series but probably not in Game 1. Defenseman Brent Seabrook (shoulder) is out.

Avalanche star, Nazem Kadri had surgery to repair an injured thumb sustained in the hit by Evander Kane early in game 3. Kadri is unlikely to be available for the remainder of the postseason, but isn’t being ruled out officially.

— Darren Dreger (@DarrenDreger) June 6, 2022

The Avalanche are missing defenseman Samuel Girard (broken sternum). Center Nazem Kadri (finger surgery) and winger Andrew Cogliano (hand surgery) skated Sunday and haven’t been ruled out for Game 1. Defenseman Ryan Murray (broken hand) is out.

Vasilevskiy Is Money When It Counts

In his last 11 games facing elimination, Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy is 11-0. He’s posted six shutouts over that span and a save percentage in excess of .980.

Vasilevskiy is Russian for “Crush your dreams”

11-0 in his last 11 elimination games with 6 shutouts stopping 98% of the shots he faced

Find me a more clutch athlete in sports today pic.twitter.com/KCwt8AwoHK

— Jim Costa (@JimCosta_) June 12, 2022

However, he’s 1-3-1 in five games against Colorado. Vasilevskiy is showing a 3.41 goals-against average and .877 save percentage in those games.

Lightning vs Avalanche Projected Starting Goalies

Team
Goalie
Record
SV%
GAA
Lightning
Andrei Vasilevskiy
4-0
.917
2.48
Avalanche
Darcy Kuemper
8-4
.916
3.19

Even though backup Pavel Francouz is unbeaten in two stints stepping in for the injured Darcy Kuemper during postseason play, now that Kuemper is again healthy, Avs coach Jared Bednar is insisting he’s again his goalie.

In seven games against Tampa Bay, Kuemper is 4-2 with a 2.33 GAA and .920 save percentage.

Lightning vs Avalanche Game 1 Prediction

Colorado has been money in the playoffs when it comes to Game 1. The Avs have opened all three previous rounds on home ice. They are 3-0 SU and 2-1 against the puckline. Colorado has outscored the opposition 18-11 in Game 1.

On the other hand, Tampa Bay hasn’t enjoyed the Game 1 experience for the most part. The Lightning lost two of three Game 1 contests so far. In their two setbacks, the Bolts were outscored 11-2.

 Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML (-160) 

 

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Robert Duff

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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
NCAAF
NCAAB
Tennis

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

Author: Jesse Smith