Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds Favor Seahawks Ahead of Texans

Jimmy Garoppolo Next Team Odds Favor Seahawks Ahead of Texans

Jimmy Garoppolo smiling

Jan 30, 2022; Inglewood, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo before the NFC Championship Game against the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Jimmy Garoppolo is searching for a new home and oddsmakers have pegged Seattle as his most likely landing spot
The Texans boast the next shortest odds to acquire the QB, but there’s reason to believe neither them or the Seahawks are a likely destination
Read below for odds and analysis on Garoppolo’s next team plus a betting prediction

The San Francisco 49ers have made it clear they don’t intend on having Jimmy Garoppolo on their roster this year. San Fran confirmed on Tuesday the team has moved on to Trey Lance and won’t have Garoppolo at practice as long as he remains with the organization.

The question now becomes, where is he likely to land? In theory there should be plenty of teams interested in a quarterback with a 33-14 career record as a starter, however you can poke holes in the majority of his most likely destinations according to oddsmakers, especially at the top of the board.

Jimmy Garoppolo’s Next Team Odds

Team
Odds
Seattle Seahawks
+275
Houston Texans
+400
Cleveland Browns
+500
New York Giants
+500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+800
Miami Dolphins
+1000
Atlanta Falcons
+1200
New Orleans Saints
+1200
Las Vegas Raiders
+2000
Chicago Bears
+2000
Detroit Lions
+2000
Tennessee Titans
+2000
Minnesota Vikings
+2000
LA Rams
+2500
 Dallas Cowboys
+4000
Jacksonville Jaguars
+4000
Cincinnati Bengals
+5000
Arizona Cardinals
+5000
Washington Commanders
+5000
New York Jets
+5000
Kansas City Chiefs
+5000
Green Bay Packers
+5000
Denver Broncos
+10000
Buffalo Bills
+10000
Carolina Panthers
+10000
Baltimore Ravens
+10000
Pittsburgh Steelers
+10000
Philadelphia Eagles
+100000
LA Chargers
+100000
Indianapolis Colts
+100000
New England Patriots
+100000

Odds as of July 26th at DraftKings Sportsbook

Seattle is listed as the favorite in this NFL betting market, with Houston closely behind. There’s been plenty of rumors circulating this week about a Garoppolo move to the Seahawks, but it just doesn’t make sense for a variety of reasons.

Ignore the Seattle Rumors

Don’t get me wrong, the Seahawks definitely could use an upgrade at QB. No team would feel confident heading into the season with Drew Lock and Geno Smith as their numbers 1 and 1a, however that’s where Seattle finds itself.

Garoppolo seemingly would be a nice fit with head coach Pete Carroll, as the Seahawks want to establish the run arguably as much as the 49ers did last year. Part of what makes Garoppolo successful is his play action passing proficiency which only works if the defense is threatened by a strong run game.

Jimmy Garoppolo is now allowed to seek trade to other teams by the #49ers, according to @AdamSchefter

Logical locations would be the #Seahawks or the #Browns is Watson is suspended long-term.

— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) July 20, 2022

But, Seattle should actually be doing everything they can to not be competitive next season. Next year’s QB class is absolutely loaded with future NFL’ers and the Seahawks would benefit more from a better draft position than the extra couple victories Garoppolo could provide.

If you’re the 49ers, yes you want to get rid of Jimmy G but the last thing you want to do is trade him within your own division. They’d look incredibly foolish if by chance his career ascends in Seattle and Lance falters.

Finally there’s the money issue. Any team that trades for Garoppolo will have to take on his $24.2 million base salary, plus per-game roster bonuses worth up to 800K. Not exactly something a rebuilding franchise should look to do.

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Garoppolo Not a Serious Target for Texans

Speaking of rebuilding, that’s where Houston finds itself as well. Bringing in Garoppolo’s contract wouldn’t be wise for financial reasons, but also for the unexpected success of rookie Davis Mills.

#Texans Davis Mills played like two different QBs last season:

First 8 games: 175 ypg, 61% comp%, 7 TDs to 8 INTs, 65.6 passer rating, 5.29 Y/A

Last 5 games: 251 ypg, 68% comp%, 9 TDs to 2 INTs, 102.4 passer rating, 7.36 Y/A pic.twitter.com/gpajTGIdpm

— Jordan Pun (@Texans_Thoughts) July 25, 2022

The third round pick wildly exceeded expectations in year one, completing 67% of his passes and posting five multi-touchdown games. He led a Houston team devoid of talent to victories in two of its final four games, including a win over a heavily favored Chargers squad.

The Texans are expected to be more competitive in 2022, but the potential upgrade from Mills to Garoppolo is not going to all of a sudden make them a playoff contender. Houston will continue to build around a very affordable Mills.

Browns Best Bet to Land Jimmy G

The team that should be targeting Garoppolo is Cleveland. The Browns were the NFL’s fourth highest graded rushing offense last season, and inserting Jimmy G into the mix if Deshaun Watson is suspended for the entire year could salvage their season.

Most passing yards per attempt on play-action by NFC West QBs in 2019:

1. Jimmy Garoppolo – 10.8
2. Russell Wilson – 9.4
3. Jared Goff – 8.4
4. Kyler Murray – 8.3 pic.twitter.com/KKydoVEeBO

— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) September 3, 2020

Cleveland’s roster is ready to win now and Garoppolo would excel in Kevin Stefanski’s system. He’d gobble up yards on play action passes and a heavy dose of short to intermediate crossing routes.

They might have to get creative to make the salary work, but Garoppolo is a major upgrade over his former teammate and projected starter Jacoby Brissett. The latter averaged nearly three full yards less per attempt last season (5.7 vs 8.4) and is 14-23 lifetime as a starter.

If Watson is suspended for any significant time expect the Garoppolo to Cleveland rumors to intensify. We can get ahead of that by grabbing the Browns as his most likely team at +500.

Pick: Cleveland Browns (+500)

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Chris Amberley

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As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
Golf

As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

Author: Jesse Smith