Guardians vs Mariners Picks & Odds (Aug 25)

Guardians vs Mariners Picks & Odds (Aug 25)

Aug 19, 2022; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Triston McKenzie (24) reacts after striking out Chicago White Sox right fielder Andrew Vaughn (not pictured) during the fifth inning at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The Guardians are -114 road favorites over the Mariners on Thursday
Triston McKenzie (9-9, 3.11) will start for Cleveland against lefty Marco Gonzales (8-12, 4.08)
A look at the Guardians vs Mariners odds can be found below with a prediction

The American League Central-leading Cleveland Guardians visit the Seattle Mariners at 4:10 p.m. ET Thursday at T-Mobile Park in the opener of a four-game series.

The Guardians (66-56, 34-31 road) have won four of their last five games, including blanking the Padres 7-0 on Wednesday in San Diego. The Mariners (67-57, 32-27 home) had their third loss in their last four games Wednesday, 3-1 to the visiting Washington Nationals.

The win put the Guardians 3.5 games ahead of the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. The Mariners were holding the third AL wild card despite the loss.

Guardians vs Mariners Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Cleveland Guardians
-114
-1.5 (+148)
Over 7.5 (-107)
Seattle Mariners
-103
+1.5 (-186)
Under 7.5 (-112)

Odds as of August 24th at Barstool Sportsbook.

 

 

As -114 favorites, the Guardians have a 53.27% implied win probability in a game that will be streamed on YouTube. The Mariners have +3500 World Series odds and the Guardians are listed at +6000.

The T-Mobile Park roof will likely be closed as the weather forecast calls for sunny, a high of 88 degrees and west wind at 5 mph.

Guardians vs Mariners Probable Pitchers

Triston McKenzie (9-9, 3.11) is scheduled to pitch for the Guardians against left-hander Marco Gonzales 8-12, 4.08). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

McKenzie vs Gonzales

9-9
Record
8-12
3.11
ERA
4.08
3.81
xERA
4.85
0.96
WHIP
1.41
3.94
SO/W
1.79

McKenzie is coming off a 14-strikeout performance in a win over the Chicago White Sox last Friday in Cleveland. He gave up two runs on six hits in seven innings and had no walks.

In his last three starts, McKenzie is 2-1 with a 1.66 ERA.

Every Triston McKenzie strikeout tonight

A career high 14! pic.twitter.com/DP91ua28ML

— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) August 20, 2022

The Mariners have given McKenzie trouble in a small sample size as he is 0-1 against them with a 10.80 ERA in two starts. In his lone appearance at T-Mobile Park last season, McKenzie took the loss when he was tagged for five runs in 4.1 innings.

McKenzie has a 4-7 record and 3.35 ERA on the road in 14 games (13 starts) this season. He is 6-5 with a 2.02 ERA in 14 games (13 starts) during the day. The Guardians are 14-8 when McKenzie starts.

Gonzales is 2-1 in his last three starts despite a 4.96 ERA. He allowed two runs (one earned) and six hits in 5.1 innings to beat the Athletics in Oakland last Friday while walking two and striking out one.

Gonzales is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA against the Guardians in two career games (one start).

He looks good on an old-fashioned baseball card.

Topps Chrome Platinum Anniversary Mariners lot (Kyle Lewis, Marco Gonzales, Aaron Fletcher)
$4 PWE

Will also trade for Cubs/Rockies/Angels from the same set pic.twitter.com/Jty0Hh3rhR

— metsfan04 (@metsfan0431) August 23, 2022

At home this season, Gonzales is 5-5 with a 3.63 ERA in 12 starts. He has a 2-5 record in seven starts in day games with a 3.21 ERA. The Mariners are 10-14 when Gonzales takes the mound.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Guardians Batters
Batting Average vs Marco Gonzales
Jose Ramirez
.750
Austin Hedges
.250
Myles Straw
.000
Mariners Batters
Batting Average vs Triston McKenzie
Mitch Haniger
.667
J.P. Crawford
.500
Dylan Moore
.500
Jesse Winker
.333
Carlos Santana
.000
Jake Lamb
.000
Eugenio Suarez
.000
Ty France
.000
Adam Frazier
.000

The Guardians’ Jose Ramirez is 3 for 4 with a double against Gonzales but Myles Straw is hitless in seven at-bats. McKenzie has held the Mariners’ Carlos Santana to 0 for 9.

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Guardians vs Mariners Betting Trends

Ramirez went 3-for-3 with two home runs, a walk and three RBIs to lead the Guardians over the Padres on Wednesday. It was his third multi-homer game of the season and 20th of his career.

Rookie Oscar Gonzalez homered for the second straight game. Owen Miller, Luke Maile and Straw had two hits each.

Yo, homes, Snell ya later.#ForTheLand pic.twitter.com/LIdSxIZNsr

— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) August 24, 2022

Rookie Julio Rodriguez hit a home run but that was the only run the Mariners managed in losing to the Nationals on Wednesday. It was his 20th home run of the season.

Rodriguez leads all major league rookies in homers and in stolen bases with 23. He is the fourth rookie in MLB history to have 20 homers and 20 steals in a season, joining Mitchell Page (1977 Oakland Athletics), Ellis Burks (1985 Boston Red Sox) and Marty Cordova (1995 Minnesota Twins).

Jesse Winker had two of the Mariners’ five hits.

Mariners utility player Sam Haggerty missed his second straight game with a sore left shoulder but should be available Thursday.

This is the first meeting of the season between the teams and series is knotted at 23-23 since 2014.

Last year, the Mariners went 4-3 against the Guardians, including winning three of four at T-Mobile Park. Seattle’s Dylan Moore went 7 for 23 (.304) with three doubles and three homers.

dylan moore woke up and chose ✨𝒹𝒾𝓃𝑔𝑒𝓇✨ pic.twitter.com/hjqengQSDj

— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) May 16, 2021

Ramirez, who has +6000 AL MVP odds, hit .360 (9 for 25) with five doubles and a home run for the Guardians.

CLE vs SEA Last 10 Games

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Score
6/13/21
Guardians
Mariners
SEA, 6-2
6/12/21
Guardians
Mariners
CLE, 5-4
6/11/21
Guardians
Mariners
CLE, 7-0
5/16/21
Mariners
Guardians
SEA, 3-2
5/15/21
Mariners
Guardians
SEA, 7-3
5/14/21
Mariners
Guardians
SEA, 7-3
5/13/21
Mariners
Guardians
CLE, 4-2
5/5/19
Guardians
Mariners
SEA, 10-0
5/4/19
Guardians
Mariners
CLE, 5-4
5/3/19
Guardians
Mariners
CLE, 2-1

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction

McKenzie is rapidly emerging into an ace-caliber pitcher and backing him is the way to go against a struggling Gonzales.

Pick: Guardians ML (-114) 

 

 

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John Perrotto

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
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Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

Author: Jesse Smith