Cubs vs Brewers Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 6)

Cubs vs Brewers Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 6)

Cubs players high-fiving

Jul 5, 2022; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Chicago Cubs right fielder Seiya Suzuki (27) high fives teammates following the game against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Brewers are -250 home favorites over the Cubs on Wednesday
Adrian Sampson (0-0, 3.38) will pitch for Chicago against Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.36)
A look at the Cubs vs Brewers odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The Chicago Cubs and host Milwaukee Brewers play the rubber game of their three-game series at 2:10 pm ET Wednesday at American Family Field.

The Cubs (33-48, 16-21 road) won for the fifth time in seven games Tuesday night with an 8-3 victory. The Brewers (47-36, 20-16 home) had won their previous two games.

Cubs vs Brewers Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Chicago Cubs
+210
+1.5 (-109)
Over 8 (-104)
Milwaukee Brewers
-250
-1.5 (-114)
Under 8 (-115)

Odds as of July 5th at Barstool Sportsbook.

 

 

The Brewers are -250 favorites, giving them an expected win probability of 71.43%. Milwaukee’s World Series odds are +17000 while the Cubs are extreme longshot at +100000.

Though it is expected to be a most cloudy afternoon, the American Family Field roof should be open. The high temperature is forecast for 72 degrees with northeast wind at 10 mph.

Chicago vs Milwaukee Probable Pitchers

Adrian Sampson (0-0, 3.38) is scheduled to start for the Cubs against Corbin Burnes (7-4, 2.36), who is +600 in the National League Cy Young odds after winning the award last year. Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

Sampson vs Burnes

0-0
Record
7-4
3.38
ERA
2.36
3.50
xERA
2.86
1.13
WHIP
0.92
4.67
SO/W
4.96

Sampson will be making his third start and fifth appearance of the season for the Cubs. He had a no-decision last Friday against the Boston Red Sox, allowing five runs (four earned) and eight hits in 5.1 innings in Chicago with four strikeouts and one walk.

Each of Sampson’s three career appearances against the Brewers have been in relief and he is 0-0 with a 3.18 ERA. All three games have been at American Family Field.

Adrian Sampson, Dirty 85mph Slider. ? pic.twitter.com/IvH3gfb5MY

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 25, 2022

Sampson’s lone road start this season resulted in a no-decision when he was touched for two runs in five innings by the Cardinals in St. Louis. In the day, he is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two games (one start).

Burnes has won four straight starts and compiled a 2.03 ERA in that span.

The latest victory came last Friday over the Pirates in Pittsburgh. Burnes gave up only one run and one hit in six innings, though he issued four walks while striking out five.

Burnes has a 2-2 lifetime record against the Cubs and a 3.60 ERA in 13 games (seven starts).

Nobody gets more excited about catching a popup.

Corbin Burnes was never seen again pic.twitter.com/hYZozpJA27

— Jomboy Media (@JomboyMedia) July 2, 2022

This season, Burnes is 3-3 with a 3.10 ERA in eight home starts. He has a 2-2 mark with a 3.16 ERA in six starts during the day.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cubs Batters
Batting Average vs Corbin Burnes
Seiya Suzuki
.500
Nico Hoerner
.400
Jason Heyward
.333
Alfonso Rivas
.333
Ian Happ
.313
David Bote
.250
Rafael Ortega
.222
Patrick Wisdom
.125
Willson Contreras
.077
Yan Gomes
.000
Andrelton Simmons
.000
Brewers Batters
Batting Average vs Adrian Sampson
Kolten Wong
.500
Omar Narvaez
.222
Willy Adames
.000
Andrew McCutchen
.000
Jace Peterson
.000
Luis Urias
.000
Christian Yelich
.000
Keston Hiura
.000

The Cubs’ Jason Heyward is 4 for 12 (.333) against Burnes with one double and one home run while Ian Happ is 5 for 16 (.313) with two doubles and one homer. Conversely, Contreras has just one hit in 13 at-bats for an .077 average.

Current Brewers hitters are a combined 5 for 25 (.200) versus Sampson.

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Cubs vs Brewers Betting Outlook

Rookie Seiya Suzuki hit a two-run homer to snap a 2-2 in the fifth inning and send the Cubs to victory.

4 hits and 4 RBI in two games for Seiya Suzuki since returning from the IL! pic.twitter.com/gC9BFwIYCG

— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) July 6, 2022

Suzuki finished with two hits and three RBIs. Rafael Ortega added two hits and two RBIs for the Cubs and Patrick Wisdom and Yan Gomes had two hits each.

Chicago had 11 hits in all.

Cubs catcher Willson Contreras is questionable for Wednesday after sitting out the game with left hamstring tightness. He was injured Monday.

Rowdy Tellez put the Brewers ahead with a two-run home run in the first inning, but the Cubs scored the next eight runs.

Jace Peterson had two of Milwaukee’s five hits.

Another line in the record books.

Rowdy ties the franchise mark with 10 consecutive extra base hits.#ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/V5T4xAjmyo

— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 6, 2022

The season series is tied at 6-6 and the Brewers have won three of five games at home. Since the start of the 2019 season, The Brewers have gone 36-24 against the Cubs.

CHC vs MIL Last 10 Games

Date
Home Team
Away Team
Score
7/5/22
Brewers
Cubs
CHC, 8-3
7/4/22
Brewers
Cubs
MIL, 5-2
6/1/22
Cubs
Brewers
CHC, 4-3
5/31/22
Cubs
Brewers
CHC, 8-7
5/30/22 (2)
Cubs
Brewers
MIL, 3-1
5/30/22 (1)
Cubs
Brewers
MIL, 7-6
5/1/22
Brewers
Cubs
CHC, 2-0
4/30/22
Brewers
Cubs
MIL, 9-1
4/29/22
Brewers
Cubs
MIL, 11-1
4/10/22
Cubs
Brewers
MIL, 5-4

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction

Burnes is rolling right now and it’s hard to bet against him, even at a high number.

Pick: Brewers ML (-250)

 

 

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John Perrotto

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
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Sports Writer

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

NFL
MLB
NCAAF
NCAAB

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

Author: Jesse Smith