Cardinals vs Phillies Odds & Picks (July 1)

Cardinals vs Phillies Odds & Picks (July 1)

Paul Goldschmidt smacks a hit

Jun 27, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (46) hits a single against the Miami Marlins during the fourth inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Cardinals vs Phillies odds favor St. Louis as -130 moneyline favorites on Friday (July 1, 6:05 pm ET)
St. Louis will send Miles Mikolas (5-5, 2.57 ERA) to the mound, while Philadelphia will counter with Bailey Falter (0-2, 4.50 ERA)
Read below for the Cardinals vs Phillies odds, analysis and betting prediction

The Cardinals and Phillies will meet for the first of six meetings over the next 11 days on Friday, as they open up a three-game set in Philadelphia. St. Louis enters play with the NL’s fifth best record at 43-35 after just taking two of three from Miami.

Philadelphia on the other hand has dropped two straight as they enter play on Thursday night against Atlanta. Oddsmakers expect Philly’s recent struggles to continue, as they’re siding with the Cards as road chalk.

Cardinals vs Phillies Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
St. Louis Cardinals
-130
-1.5 (+125)
O 9.5 (-105)
Philadelphia Phillies
+110
+1.5 (-145)
U 9.5 (-115)

Odds as of June 30th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes. 

 

 

St. Louis opened up as a -130 moneyline favorite, in a game with a total of 9.5. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA, with clouds and 90 degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.

St. Louis vs Philadelphia Starting Pitchers

The Cards, who are currently a top-12 contender in the World Series odds, will give the ball to Miles Mikolas. The 33-year-old is garnering All-Star buzz despite a 5-5 record. That’s because he’s been sensational all year, especially over his past four starts, and is on pace for his best statistical season since he went 18-4 with a 4.1 WAR in 2018.

Miles Mikolas last 4 starts:

29 IP (7.1 Innings per start)
1.55 ERA
0.55 WHIP
27/4 K/BB ratio
1-2 Record

Yet another reason why W/L record is stupid. He’s pitching like an ace though and has been one of the best pitchers in the NL this year despite the 5-5 record.

— Cardinals Stats And Facts (@STL_Stats_Facts) June 26, 2022

He’s allowed two runs or less in four straight starts, pitching at least 6 innings in each outing. Two of those performances lasted at least 8 innings, and he’s posted a 27-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio over that stretch.

The last time he faced the Phillies was back in 2019, and he was fantastic. He pitched 7 innings of scoreless ball in a 6-0 victory, yielding only three hits.

Mikolas vs Falter

5-5
Record
0-2
2.57
ERA
4.50
0.96
WHIP
1.40
.207
OBA
.286
4.1
SO/W Ratio
2.2

Philadelphia will turn to southpaw Bailey Falter who’s been much less impressive than his counterpart. The 25-year-old has split his time between the Phillies and Triple-A Lehigh Valley this season, making three starts with the big club.

He’s failed to make it out of the 5th inning in two of those outings, and coughed up three runs and two homers to light-hitting Washington in his last appearance.

Cardinals Betting Analysis

The Cardinals lineup is anything but light-hitting. St. Louis ranks fifth in average, sixth in runs per game, and top-nine in slugging and OPS.

They’re led by Paul Goldschmidt, the heavy favorite in the NL MVP odds. The 34-year-old leads MLB in batting average, while ranking second in RBI, OPS and WAR, and fourth in slugging.

Paul Goldschmidt does not care about your NRFI 😳

He almost just hit it out of the park… pic.twitter.com/D7Th6Vcebd

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) June 28, 2022

The only reason he’s not atop the WAR category is because his teammate Tommy Edman is occupying the position. Edman’s slash line of .271/.401/.743 is impressive, but not nearly as impressive as Goldschmidt’s (.342/.630/1.054).

Tommy Edman showed off the bunnies with this catch🐰

(via @MLB)pic.twitter.com/LG0CnrOpI5

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) June 14, 2022

However, Edman is one of the best defensive players in the league, something he showcases nearly every single night.

Phillies Betting Analysis

Philadelphia meanwhile, is starting to feel the effects of life without Bryce Harper. The 2021 NL MVP is out indefinitely after breaking his thumb on Saturday. He reportedly underwent successful surgery on Wednesday, but there’s still no timetable for his return.

Imagine being the greatest hitter in the sport and your season could potentially be over.

Harper makes sure to accept Snell’s apology before even reaching the dugout

World class Bryce Harper pic.twitter.com/rfLuFveqmY

— Phillies Muse (@Phillies_Muse) June 26, 2022

Harper’s Phillies were one of the top lineups in baseball prior to his injury ranking in the top-10 in most offensive categories. Entering play on Thursday however, they’d scored just four runs over the past two games, recording only 12 hits.

STL vs PHI Last 10 Meetings

Date
Away Team
Home Team
Score
4/29/21
Phillies
Cardinals
STL, 4-3
4/28/21
Phillies
Cardinals
PHI, 5-3
4/27/21
Phillies
Cardinals
STL, 5-2
4/26/21
Phillies
Cardinals
PHI, 2-1
4/18/21
Cardinals
Phillies
PHI, 2-0
4/17/21
Cardinals
Phillies
STL, 9-4
4/16/21
Cardinals
Phillies
PHI, 9-2
5/30/19
Cardinals
Phillies
STL, 5-3
5/29/19
Cardinals
Phillies
PHI, 11-4
5/28/19
Cardinals
Phillies
PHI, 4-3

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Cardinals vs Phillies Pick

Life won’t get any easier on Friday for Philadelphia with how well Mikolas has been pitching. Conversely, Falter on the mound represents a pretty favorable matchup for the Cards bats to attack.

St. Louis has crushed lefties like Falter all season, posting a slugging percentage of .443 and an OPS of .781, compared to .399 and .716 numbers in those categories against righties. Six of the top-eight hitters they’ll trot out against Falter will bat from the right side, and I expect them to him hard just like the Nationals did last week.

Pick: St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline (-130)

 

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Chris Amberley

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As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
Golf

As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

Author: Jesse Smith