Brewers vs Twins Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 13)

Brewers vs Twins Odds, Picks & Predictions (July 13)

Minnesota Twins home run celebration

Jul 10, 2022; Arlington, Texas, USA; Minnesota Twins designated hitter Byron Buxton (25) is congratulated by right fielder Max Kepler (26) after hitting a home un in the first inning as Texas Rangers catcher Meibrys Viloria (60) reacts and home plate umpire Alex MacKay (105) look on at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The Brewers vs Twins odds favor Minnesota as -150 moneyline favorites on Wednesday (July 13, 1:10pm ET)
Milwaukee will send Aaron Ashby (2-6, 4.52 ERA) to the mound, while Minnesota will counter with Joe Ryan (6-3, 3.09 ERA)
Read below for the Brewers vs Twins odds, analysis and betting prediction

It’s a battle of first place clubs on Wednesday afternoon, as the leaders of the Central division in both the AL and NL continue a two-game set. Both the Brewers and Twins began the series in a bit of a funk, with Milwaukee dropping four of five and Minnesota losing three of four.

Brewers vs Twins Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Milwaukee Brewers
+130
+1.5 (-170)
O 8.5 (-120)
Minnesota Twins
-150
-1.5 (+145)
U 8.5 (+100)

Odds as of July 12th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo code. 

 

 

The Twins opened up as a -150 moneyline favorite, in a game with a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm ET at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota, with clear skies and 86 degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.

Milwaukee vs Minnesota Starting Pitchers

Minnesota will give the ball to right-hander Joe Ryan. The 26-year-old has been very reliable this season, allowing three runs or less in all but two of his 13 starts.

Last time out, he surrendered two earned runs to the White Sox in a no decision, which followed up 7 innings of one run ball against Baltimore.

The Joe Ryan Experience with 7 Ks.

90 career strikeouts = a new franchise record for the most through a pitcher’s first 17 career games. #TwinsWin | #MNTwins pic.twitter.com/bF4nDksWCo

— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) July 2, 2022

He’s never faced the Brewers before, but he’ll have his hands full on Wednesday. The last time he faced a quality lineup in the same tier as the Brew Crew, he coughed up four runs over 4 innings to Houston.

Ashby vs Ryan

2-6
Record
6-3
4.52
ERA
3.09
1.43
WHIP
1.09
.250
OBA
.215
2.6
SO/W Ratio
3.2

Milwaukee, a top-eight contender in the World Series odds, will counter with Aaron Ashby. The southpaw has been one of the weak links of the rotation so far, posing a 1-3 record over his last five starts. He’s allowed 20 runs over 23.2 innings during that stretch, and is fresh off getting hit hard by the lowly Pirates.

Diego Castillo went down and got this one for his 10th home run of the season. @ChrisHalicke has your coverage from American Family Field.

pic.twitter.com/Q6pLu9NoHP

— DK Pittsburgh Sports (@DKPghSports) July 9, 2022

The NL’s lowest scoring team touched him up for eight runs over 8.2 innings, including three homers. If one of the worst lineups in baseball can feast on him like that, imagine what the big bats of the Twins are capable of.

Twins Betting Analysis

Minnesota has been a top-eight lineup for most of the season, but they’ve taken it to another level over the past seven days. They’ve got a slash line of .294/.365/.572 during that stretch, while averaging 6.9 runs per contest.

These two ?? pic.twitter.com/bxSjXtDrDw

— Minnesota Twins (@Twins) July 10, 2022

Luis Arraez owns the highest batting average in the league (.348), while Bryon Buxton has already set a career-high with 23 home runs. In total, five regulars own a WAR north of 2.0, and seven players have already eclipsed 100 total bases.

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Brewers Betting Analysis

Milwaukee’s lineup is no slouch either. Despite not having a legitimate contender in the NL MVP Odds, they rank top-10 in MLB in runs per game, slugging and OPS.

Off and [email protected] homers for the second time in as many games.#ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/D7nPmoafnv

— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) July 12, 2022

Atlanta is the only NL squad with more home runs, in spite of the fact that no Brewers hitter has more than 17. They produce offensively with depth, not star power, and are averaging 5.3 runs per outing over the past two weeks. They’re slugging .467 with an .800 OPS during that stretch, and have hit righties like Ryan much harder than they have lefties in 2022.

One injury note to pass along, Christian Yelich was scratched from Tuesday’s game due to back tightness and will be questionable to play on Wednesday.

Brewers vs Twins Pick

If you’ve made it this far, you probably have a hunch that we’re expecting a high-scoring game on Wednesday. A pair of top-10 offenses combined with an underwhelming Milwaukee starter will certainly help the over’s cause, as will the potent Brewers lineup even against a quality starter like Ryan.

Overs have been a popular bet in Minnesota games lately and for good reason. Entering Tuesday, each of their past five games had cleared the total.

Not to be outdone, Milwaukee has seen 56% of its games go over the total on no rest, while the over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road contests.

Pick: Over 8.5 (-120)

 

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Chris Amberley

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As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
Golf

As SBD’s resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he’d rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

Author: Jesse Smith