Braves vs Phillies Odds & Picks (July 27)

Braves vs Phillies Odds & Picks (July 27)

Austin Riley hits an RBI double vs Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 26, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Atlanta Braves third baseman Austin Riley (27) hits an RBI double against the Philadelphia Phillies in the first inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are -145 road favorites over the Philadelphia Phillies in a National League afternoon game slated for Wednesday, July 27
Atlanta is 3-2 straight up in the past five games played at Philadelphia
See the Braves vs Phillies odds as the NL East rivals wrap up their three-game set

Never mind the odds, when the Atlanta Braves (59-40, 26-19 away) visit Philadelphia (50-47, 25-25 home) to face the Phillies, the outcome of the game is basically a 50-50 proposition. They’ve split the past four games, are 3-3 in the past six, 4-4 over the last eight, 5-5 through the past 10 and 6-6 over a dozen contests.

It’s the visiting Braves that oddsmakers are going with as the betting choice when these two teams take the diamond on Wednesday afternoon. Atlanta is set as the -145 favorite. In eight of the past nine games between these two clubs played at Philadelphia, the winning team has covered the runline.

First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is set for 12:35pm ET on Wednesday, July 27. Cloudy skies are in the forecast, with 5 mph wind and a temperature of 86 degrees.

Braves vs Phillies Odds

Team
Moneyline
Runline
Total
Atlanta Braves
-145
-1.5 (+105)
O 8.5 (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies
+122
+1.5 (-125)
U 8.5 (-105)

Odds as of July 26th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes.

At odds of -145, the Braves are offering an implied probability of victory of 59.18% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Atlanta would deliver a payout of $16.90.

In MLB betting trends, public wagering is showing to be at odds with the oddsmakers on this game. They’re backing Philadelphia. The Phillies are pulling 63% of the moneyline and 88% of runline action. On the total, the under is maintaining a slight 52-48 edge on the over.

The MLB betting trends show that in the NL Division odds, Philadelphia is +1000 to win the NL East, with Atlanta set at odds of +260. The MLB pennant odds show the Phillies at +1800 to win the NL flag, while Atlanta is at +380. Philadelphia is pulling odds of +3500 to win the World Series odds. You’ll get a betting line of +800 on the defending champion Braves winning the Fall Classic.

Atlanta vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers

Braves right-hander Charlie Morton, who led the NL with 33 starts last season, will be taking the mound for his 20th start of 2022. Morton is 4-1 over his past five decisions.

He’s worked at least five innings in each of his last 10 starts. Morton’s 2.52 ERA in July is at least a full run better than any previous month this season. He’s showing a 2.22 ERA over his past seven starts. Morton is in the bottom five-percent of MLB pitchers in Max EV (115.8). He’s also hit 12 batters, the high among NL hurlers.

Charlie Morton filth ? pic.twitter.com/QxjRAw5l9v

— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) July 23, 2022

He’s faced the Phillies twice already this season. The Braves won both games, although Morton didn’t figure in either decision. He shows a 5.40 ERA in those two games. He’s 5-5 with a 4.65 ERA in 14 career starts against Philadelphia.

Morton vs Gibson

5-4
Record
5-4
4.20
ERA
4.69
4.12
xERA
4.30
1.23
WHIP
1.24
3.03
SO/W Ratio
2.76

In his last six decisions, Phillies right-hander Kyle Gibson has gone W-L-W-L-W-L. If you believe in trends, he’ll be a winner in his next verdict. Gibson is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA over his past five starts. He’s gotten through the fifth inning in just two of those starts.

Kyle Gibson’s slider has some bite to it ? pic.twitter.com/VzrJzrNo3p

— Brodes Media (@BrodesMedia) July 15, 2022

Gibson went five innings against the Braves on May 23, allowing two earned runs. He didn’t factor in the decision as the Phillies lost 6-5. Gibson has collected four of his five wins this season at home.

He’s 2-1 in day games this season. Gibson has faced Atlanta three times and is 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Phillies Batters
Batting Average vs Morton
Braves Batters
Batting Average vs Gibson
Alec Bohm
.467
Ronald Acuna Jr
.667
Johan Camargo
.000
Orlando Arcia
.250
Nick Castellanos
.125
Robinson Cano
.250
Didi Gregorius
.257
William Contreras
.000
Darick Hall
.000
Mike Ford
.333
Odubel Herrera
.429
Michael Harris II
.000
Rhys Hoskins
.143
Guillermo Heredia
.333
Yairo Munoz
.667
Matt Olson
.444
JT Realmuto
.320
Marcell Ozuna
.000
Kyle Schwarber
.222
Austin Riley
.500
Bryson Stott
.400
Eddie Rosario
.000
Garrett Stubb
.000
Dansby Swanson
.714
Matt Vierling
.000
Travis d’Arnaud
.200

Atlanta’s Matt Olson is crushing it against Gibson. He’s 8-for-18 with three home runs and five RBI. Austin Riley is 2-for-4 (.500) with a solo homer. Dansby Swanson is 5-for-7 (.714) with two RBI. Mike Ford (1-for-3) and Guillermo Heredia (2-for-6) are both batting .333.

Breaking news: Matt Olson is still raking at Citizens Bank Park ? pic.twitter.com/rfHfDZTzIH

— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) July 27, 2022

When facing Morton, Philadelphia’s Odubel Herrera is 6-for-14 (.429) with two homers and seven RBI. Alec Bohm is 7-for-15 (.467) with two RBI. Yairo Munoz is 2-for-3 (.667) and JT Realmuto is 8-for-25 (.320) with two RBI.

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Braves vs Phillies Prediction

In the midst of a six-game homestead, so far Philadelphia is 1-4 SU. In their past 15 games, the erratic Phillies have fashioned a pair of three-game win streaks along with losing skids of three and four games.

Braves 6, #Phillies 3:
(It helps to get the score correct!) Spencer Strider dared the Phillies to hit his blazing fastball. They mostly couldn’t. Phils have scored fewer than four runs in 11 of 14 games. Aaron Nola knocked around. Rubber game tomorrow at 12:35.

— Scott Lauber (@ScottLauber) July 27, 2022

Atlanta is 1-2 SU over the past three games but 6-3 through the past nine. The Braves are 9-4 SU in their last 13 road games.

Pick: Atlanta Braves ML (-145)

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Robert Duff

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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

NFL
NBA
MLB
NHL
NCAAF
NCAAB
Tennis

An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.

Author: Jesse Smith